Results

Twilio's second quarter revenue outlook light

Twilio reported better-than-expected first quarter earnings, but its second quarter revenue outlook was light.

The company reported a first quarter net loss of $55 million, or 31 cents a share, on revenue of $1.047 billion, up 4% from a year ago. Adjusted earnings were 80 cents a share, which were 21 cents a share ahead of Wall Street estimates.

As for the outlook, Twilio projected revenue of $1.05 billion to $1.06 billion with non-GAAP earnings of 64 cents a share to 68 cents a share. Wall Street was looking for non-GAAP second quarter earnings of 62 cents a share on revenue of $1.08 billion.

Overall, Twilio growth is anemic, but the company is improving operating efficiency.  Khozema Shipchandler, CEO of Twilio, said "we are operating with greater financial discipline, operational rigor, and focus on innovation than ever before."

Since its last earnings report, Twilio has evaluated its Segment unit and decided to keep it. Twilio said it authorized another $2 billion to repurchase shares on top of the $1 billion it approved in February.

For the full year, Twilio is projecting revenue growth of 5% to 10%.

Here's a look at Twilio's first quarter key facts:

  • The company ended the quarter with 5,582 employees.
  • It had 313,000 active customer accounts as of March 31, up from 300,000 a year ago.
  • Communications revenue was $972 million, up 4% from a year ago, with operating profit of $249 million.
  • Segment revenue was $75 million with an operating loss of $21 million.

Shipchandler said on an earnings conference call:

"We made progress on a number of our AI products and are driving better synergies with our Communications and Segment products. In Q1, we announced Agent Copilot, our first of three launches in 2024, where Twilio will natively embed Segment into Twilio's Communications products. With Agent Copilot, we've embedded Unified Profiles powered by Segment within Flex, giving agents deeper insights into their customers' behaviors and preferences. By accessing the real-time data from Unified Profiles, Agent Copilot assists in intelligent routing to agents and provides them with actionable insights for each customer interaction, automating and enhancing agent productivity while reducing resolution times. Agent Copilot and Unified Profiles are currently in public beta."

He added that Twilio has integrated with Databricks and Snowflake so data can flow between Twilio and the data platforms. 

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Apple launches M4 ahead of what's likely to be AI-heavy WWDC

Apple launched new iPads, but its latest M4 processor stole the show. The M4, and a heavy dose of AI talk, represented the latest effort by Apple to show that it won't be a generative AI laggard.

With its latest financial results, Apple CEO Tim Cook went out of his way to talk about AI, how it can fuel another hardware upgrade cycle and reiterate that the company is investing in the space. "We continue to feel very bullish about our opportunity and generative AI we are making significant investments and we're looking forward to sharing some very exciting things with our customers soon," said Cook last week.

Enter the M4 launch (and oh yeah the iPads). The M4 will power the new iPad Pro, use second-generation 3-nanometer technology and is a system on a chip that has up to a 10-core CPU and new 10-core GPU. M4 also has Apple's latest Neural Engine that can handle up to 38 trillion operations. And the kicker is that the M4 "is faster than the neural processing unit of any AI PC today," said Apple, which didn't mention a core count for its neural processing unit.

That AI PC reference has nothing to do with Qualcomm Snapdragon processors powering a wave of AI PCs coming and Microsoft's Surface event on deck I'm sure. 

Apple's M4 launch comes amid a Wall Street Journal report highlighting ACDC, or Apple Chips in Data Center. According to the WSJ, Apple is working on its own AI chips for its data centers. Then again, who isn't working on custom AI chips? Meta, AWS, Google and Microsoft all are building their own AI chips.

You can see where this is headed: WWDC and a lot of AI. Cook can't stop teasing WWDC and what'll be an AI-heavy narrative. He ended the iPad presentation with: "We can't wait to see what users do with these incredible new iPads. And we look forward to seeing you next month at WWDC where we'll talk about the future of our platforms. And share some exciting details about what's to come."

Constellation Research Holger Mueller said Apple can go a few directions with the AI theme. Mueller said Apple's AI theme is likely to feature a heavy dose of walled garden. Apple's AI strategy won't be about generative AI for all because it'll be designed more for the Apple ecosystem.

"At WWDC, Apple needs developers to build apps for the Apple Walled Garden AI (AWGAI)," he quipped.

And those iPads...

Lost in the M4 news was Apple's new iPads, which will go a long way toward revamping the tablet portfolio. The company launched two new iPad Pro models, 13-inch and 11-inch, with the M4 chip, Ultra Retina XDR display and new accessories with a new Apple Pencil Pro and Magic Keyboard. Apple claims the iPad Pro is the company’s thinnest product ever. With the launch, Apple appears to be positioning the iPad Pro as an AI PC killer--at least until new MacBooks launch.

The iPad Pro with M4 will feature silver and space black finishes with 256GB, 512GB, 1TB and 2TB configurations. The starting price for the 11-inch iPad Pro is $999 with Wi-Fi. The 13-inch iPad Pro starts at $1,299. An Apple Pencil Pro will run you $129 and the new Magic Keyboard will cost $299 for the 11-inch device and $349 for the 13-inch version.

The iPad Air, which has the M2 chip, comes in 11-inch and 13-inch versions, support for the Apple Pencil Pro. The 11-inch iPad Air starts at $599 and the 13-inch is $799.

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RSA Conference 2024 in a nutshell: What you need to know

Google Cloud launched Threat Intelligence, Cisco and Splunk outlined integrations and new security offerings, Palo Alto Networks outlined its AI and cybersecurity future and CrowdStrike, Fastly and a bevy of others had announcements. Akamai acquired Noname Security.

While Chirag Mehta is at RSA looking at trends and developments and themes for CxOs, I'll round up the news nuggets to know. Here's a look.

  • Akamai Technologies said it will acquire Noname Security, an API security vendor, to bolster its existing API Security offering. Akamai said the purchase price was $450 million.
  • Google Cloud launched Google Threat Intelligence, which combines Google's security offerings into one package. Google Threat Intelligence includes Mandiant intelligence, VirusTotal and visibility tools built on the company's mobile and email scale. The headliner for Google Threat Intelligence is Gemini in Threat Intelligence, a generative AI agent built on Gemini 1.5 Pro that provides insights. Google Cloud also announced the latest release of Google Security Operations.
  • Splunk Asset and Risk Intelligence. Splunk launched Splunk Asset and Risk Intelligence to enable enterprises to be more proactive about security and mitigating risks. The system correlates and aggregates data from various sources to keep a rolling inventory of assets. This inventory can then be used to map assets and relationships to offer context for incident response. Dashboards and metrics are available out of the box to help with compliance.
  • Cisco and Splunk integrations. Splunk's announcement landed as Cisco and newly acquired Splunk outlined integration to bridge security platforms. Cisco plans to converge its security portfolio with Splunk. For now, the two companies are rolling out new features and integrations. Cisco said Extended Detection & Response (XDR) is now integrated with Splunk Enterprise Security to provide one detection to remediation workflow. Cisco also said its unified AI Assistant for Security is available in Cisco XDR. The company also said its Panoptica application protection platform includes AI and machine learnings for real-time alerts. Cisco also said Hypershield, launched last month, will get tools to isolate attacks from unknown vulnerabilities within the runtime. See: Splunk’s Acquisition by Cisco Accelerates Convergence of Network, Security, and Observability, Fueled by AI | 11 Top Cybersecurity Trends for 2024 and Beyond
  • Palo Alto Networks announced three copilots across its cybersecurity platforms with Strata Copilot, Prism Cloud Copilot and Cortex Copilot. The assistants are powered by Precision AI, which combines generative AI, machine learning and deep learning from the data on Palo Alto Networks platforms. The Palo Alto Networks copilots are now in private preview. Palo Alto Networks is promising a launch that will highlight the intersection of AI and cybersecurity. The company also announced Cortex XSIAM, which will give customers the ability to integrate third-party EDR data and bring their own models to the platform. Cortex XSIAM will get one unified interface, security agents and integration with Prisma Cloud. See: CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks duel over platforms vs. bundles

  • CrowdStrike outlined new additions to CrowdStrike Falcon Next-Gen SIEM. All Falcon Insight customers will get 10GB of third-party data ingest per day at no additional cost. In addition, Charlotte AI, CrowdStrike's genAI security analyst, will be available for all Falcon data in Next Gen SIEM. Charlotte AI will also get new promptbooks, the ability to summarize incidents and automated investigations. Falcon Next-Gen SEIM also gets more cloud connectors, data normalization and automated data onboarding. CrowdStrike also expanded its ecosystem. CrowdStrike also announced the general availability of CrowdStrike Falcon Application Security Posture Management (ASPM) as an integrated part of CrowdStrike Falcon Cloud Security. The effort aims to create a CloudSecOps platform that moves as fast as DevOps that includes business threat context, deep runtime visibility, and protection across multiple assets. CrowdStrike added cross-domain threat hunting tools in Microsoft Azure environments to its Cloud Detection and Response platform.
  • Fastly said its Managed Security Service with coverage of Fastly Bot Management will now include a 30-minute time to notify service level agreement. With the SLA, Fastly said it is guaranteeing that its experts will notify and begin mitigating security incidents within 30 minutes of discovery for any web application security incident.
  • Ernst & Young outlined some initial findings from its 2024 Human Risk in Cybersecurity Survey. EY said 85% of workers believe AI has made cybersecurity more sophisticated, 78% are concerned about the use of AI in cyber-attacks and 39% of employees aren't confident they know how to use AI responsibly.
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ServiceNow Knowledge 2024: Model choices, genAI everywhere, automation, process optimization

ServiceNow, which launched a bevy of generative AI tools across its Now Platform, is giving customers the ability to bring their own large language models (LLMs) to use in Now Assist. 

With the move, announced at Knowledge 2024, ServiceNow customers will be able to use ServiceNow LLMs, their own models or general purpose LLMs.

ServiceNow's build your own LLM effort comes as model choice becomes a big issue for enterprises. Companies are looking to use open source models and tailoring them with enterprise data or use a service like Amazon Bedrock or Google Cloud Model Garden to mix and match models as needed. Enterprises are also wary of being locked into any one vendor's model.

Bring your own model capabilities play into ServiceNow's strategy to offer multiple models based on use cases. ServiceNow has focused on use case specific LLMs that are accurate and efficient to run. "When the models are smaller, the cost to run them is not high; and number three, from an end user perspective, a smaller model always performs better," said ServiceNow President and Chief Operating Officer CJ Desai.

ServiceNow CEO Bill McDermott said on the company's first quarter earnings call that the company has partnered closely with Microsoft, SAP, IBM and a host of others. "We're very open to all the participants that are making LLMs and they can all integrate with ServiceNow and we'll own the domain specific to ServiceNow, but we welcome all participants," said McDermott. "We're not interested in shutting anybody out."

McDermott said during his Knowledge 2024 keynote that AI is critical for CEOs, who need to deliver AI-driven transformation plans. "I've met more than 200 CEOs individually in the last 12 months and they're all in on AI. The board is saying to them 'what is your plan for AI?' CEOs said AI will be highly disruptive to my business and my industry. We have a once in a lifetime shot to be the great simplifier."

Although bring your own LLM was the headliner at Knowledge 2024, ServiceNow announced a series of generative AI innovations. Here's a look at the roundup, which will be mostly available across the Now Platform May.9.

  • ServiceNow expanded the Now Assist portfolio with Strategic Portfolio Management (SPM), which uses generative AI to ground planning and prioritize work based on customer feedback. Now Assist for SPM synthesizes customer feedback and requests in one place and enables business users to create demands without long forms.  
  • The company added genAI features including playbook and app generation so developers can scale. Now Assist for Creator's playbook generation enables users to define processes for automation and make them repeatable. App generation in Now Assist for Creator creates business applications via natural language.
  • Now Assist for Creator also gets service catalog generation so developers can generate a catalog item, descriptions, questions and text prompts quickly.
  • ServiceNow admits will get prompt management tools that incorporate business context and company goals.
  • ServiceNow launched knowledge article summarization for agents.
  • The company's Government Community Cloud will get Now Assist for public sector customer experiences. Government Community Cloud will be available in the second half of 2024 or sooner depending on FedRamp approval.

In addition, the company is expanding generative AI features across its Now Platform. For instance, knowledge article generation will be available in Now Assist for IT Service Management, Now Assist for Customer Service Management, and Now Assist for HR Service Delivery.

Other Now Assist features across products include post call summarization, feedback summaries and simplification of alerts.

Creator Studio, Automation Engine

ServiceNow outlined no-code tools to scale the automation of workflows with availability May 9.

The company launched Creator Studio, which will be available with ServiceNow App Engine, to offer guided experiences to build applications. Business processes owners can create applications with guardrails and governance.

ServiceNow also enhanced Automation Engine, which automates workflows and aggregates technologies such as robotic process automation, API integration, document intelligence and process mining with governance.

Automation Engine will now get Automation Center for tracking of returns and one view of request and tasks as well as automation lifecycle management. Embedded Task Automation will take ServiceNow's existing RPA and provides tools to trigger automations across various workflows.

Manufacturing Commercial Operations

At Knowledge 2024, ServiceNow stepped up its efforts to target the manufacturing industry. The company outlined Manufacturing Commercial Operations (MCO) takes genAI to hone sales, service, support and order-to-cash processes.

Part of MCO is Employee Center (EC) Pro Kiosk, which targets factory workers without phones. EC Pro Kiosk includes self-service company communications, resources and hire-to-retire processes.

With MCO and EC Pro Kiosk, ServiceNow is focusing on workflows and employee experiences and leaving supply chain to other players.

According to ServiceNow, MCO is built on ServiceNow Customer Service Management and Sales and Order Management. Using gen-AI, MCO is focused on sales management, service management, field operations and customer facing workflows.

MCO is an example of how ServiceNow can take various platform offerings and reconfigure them to focus on specific industries.

ServiceNow, Genesys partnership

Genesys and ServiceNow said they will integrate Genesys Cloud with ServiceNow Customer Service Management (CSM). The integration will be called Unified Experience from Genesys and ServiceNow.

Unified Experience from Genesys and ServiceNow will be available later in 2024 and aim to do the following:

  • Give agents one workspace in ServiceNow CSM that integrates data and tools for customer experience across digital and voice channels.
  • Provide one engine for work routing and experience orchestration via Genesys Cloud. ServiceNow will connect workflow automations across processes.
  • Tools to optimize customer journeys.

Both companies will sell Unified Experience from Genesys and ServiceNow and integrated features will be rolled out "under controlled availability."

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Palantir US commercial revenue up 40% in Q1

Palantir continued to gain enterprise customers in the first quarter as it delivered first quarter earnings in line with expectations. Commercial revenue was up 40% in the US from a year ago with global government revenue up 16%.

The company reported first quarter net income of $106 million, or 4 cents a share, on revenue of $634 million, up 21% from a year ago. Adjusted earnings were 8 cents a share in line with Wall Street estimates. Palantir's first quarter revenue was ahead of the $617.7 million expected by analysts.

By the numbers for the first quarter:

  • US commercial revenue was up 40% in the first quarter to $150 million with 262 customers.
  • Commercial first quarter revenue globally was up 27% from a year ago to $299 million.
  • Government first quarter revenue was up 16% from a year ago to $335 million. US government revenue for the first quarter was up 12% from a year ago to $57 million.
  • Palantir ended the first quarter with cash and equivalents of $3.9 billion.

As for the outlook, Palantir projected second quarter revenue between $649 million and $653 million with adjusted income from operations between $209 million and $213 million. For 2024, Palantir projected revenue of $2.677 billion and $2.69 billion. US commercial revenue for the year will grow at least 45% to $661 million. Adjusted income from operations for 2024 will be between $868 million and $880 million.

The company added that it expects to be GAAP profitable each quarter of 2024.

CEO Alex Karp in a shareholder letter emphasized that its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) is seeing strong demand. AIP has been a focus area for both Palantir and Wall Street and the company has recently outlined a bevy of customer use cases. 

He said:

"We have been investing in and refining our enterprise software platforms for years. And a growing portion of the American corporate sector is now coming to us, more aware than ever of how significant artificial intelligence and large language models will be in reshaping the industries within which they operate."

Karp also said that Palantir's 660 bootcamps across sectors have been paying off with customers. He added:

"Other companies engage in intricate and elaborate efforts to sell and market their offerings. Their resources are focused on marketing at the expense of actually constructing the software and building the systems that they hope to sell.  We have taken a different approach and are now investing even more heavily in simply letting potential partners use our software in order to decide what works and what does not for themselves."

Palantir is working to make AIP available to more markets, governments and businesses. 

On a conference call, Palantir kicked off comments with Ryan Clark, Chief Revenue Officer.  Clark went through a bevy of commercial customer references and noted that AIP is driving inbound demand and enterprises are rapidly signing larger deals.

"Lowe's accelerated its engagement from a starting point of no AI to utilizing production level AI for over 1,000 customer service agents, resulting in a 75% reduction in overdue tasks," said Clark. "As one of its directors noted, we achieved this in just four months and onboarded 1,000 users within three weeks."

The company's bet is that the momentum AIP has in the enterprise will translate to US government accounts, where Palantir has a series of contracts with the US Army.  Palantir is rolling out AIP Boot Camps to US government agencies. 

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Monday's Musing: When The Hunters Become The Hunted

Media Name: @rwang0 20240503 4 comma club.png

Expect Software Giant Hunters To Soon Be The Hunted In A Digital Giant's Quest For Growth

Six of the Magnificent Seven (Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Alphabet [Google], Amazon, Meta [Facebook]) stocks have entered the four comma club -over $1 trillion in market cap.  With a combined market cap of over $13.2 trillion, these six players continue to defy physics with continuous quarters of double digit organic growth.  Digital giants by definition have deployed five key strategies:

  1. Build the biggest network
  2. Own and disintermediate the customer relationship
  3. Compete for data supremacy
  4. Deploy digital monetization models
  5. Take a long term growth mindset

In the enterprise software category, the largest enterprise software vendors are nowhere close to $1 trillion in market cap. In fact, they have a long way to go.  Here's their market cap as of May 3rd, 2024

  • Oracle $318.27B
  • Salesforce $265.45 B
  • Adobe $217.80 B
  • SAP $214.12 B
  • Intuit $176.18 B
  • IBM $152.22 B
  • ServiceNow $147.18 B

While these software vendors have been seen as the acquirers for quite some time, market conditions could shift quickly making them attractive targets for acquisition by a hungry Digital Giant seeking growth.

Running Out Of Runway For Double Digit Organic Growth Means More M&A In The Future

Should economic conditions take a turn for the worse, the digital giants will have to find inorganic opportunities.   Technically digesting companies one-tenth to one-fourth their size would be very possible.  In fact, if it weren't for a hawkish anti-trust stance by the current presidential administration, one could expect a faster rate of mergers and acquisitions. Most of the digital giants could find adjacencies to support their growth.

Concurrently, hardware and chip companies such as Broadcom have entered new markets by moving from chips to hardware to software.  The next set of players below the trillion dollar market cap club will most likely consolidate in the next three years to gain scale and meet financial targets.  With software a highly profitable endeavor, low margin players will likely find themselves drawn to an acquisition of software assets

The Bottom Line: End Of Zero Interest Rates Changes Everything

The end of zero interest rates have shown a confluence of forces in exponential efficiency, AI arbitrage, and margin compression.  Each of these factors have transformed market conditions and forced management teams to rethink their business models.  As digital giants struggle to achieve double digit growth and maintain their astronomical market caps, inorganic growth may be the only option.  Expect a string of strange mergers and acquisitions with a change or presidential administrations in the quest for alpha. New tech conglomerates will emerge to challenge the digital giants.  More importantly, new digital giants will emerge to disrupt the incumbents.

Your POV

Where do you see the next set of mergers? Do you think we'll see more bulking up by category or across category?

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Generative AI spending will move beyond the IT budget

Generative AI will drive IT budgets, but the spending is likely to be spread around a bevy of business units too. The more likely outcome is that generative AI spending for projects will be spread around business units and be absorbed in the budgets that run the entire enterprise.

That's the early take from technology CEOs and it's likely on target. Generative AI use cases are often department specific and intertwined with transformation efforts and process reinvention.

In other words, generative AI rhymes with the way software-as-a-service played out in the enterprise. SaaS spending was often driven by business leaders. For instance, CMOs and sales leaders drove Salesforce.com spending. HR leaders spent on Workday. Developers led cloud spending well before centralized IT became involved. Once SaaS matured central IT was used to consolidate SaaS contracts and deployments. Once model ops come into play enterprise IT will play that centralization role again.

For now, the bet here is that generative AI spending will spread and become business--just like digital transformation did.

Deloitte's US State of GenAI Report for the second quarter noted:

"There are many ways to define and measure value—especially for a technology with the transformational potential of Generative AI. Although financial return on investment (ROI) is important, value drivers such as innovation, strategic positioning and competitive differentiation can be even more important."

The upshot to that passage is that all of those value creation goals are likely to run through different CxOs and budgets going forward. Follow the value creation goals and it is clear every budget is going to have a generative AI component. 

Here's how enterprise technology CEOs see generative AI budgets developing today. The talk of broadening AI budgets beyond IT is still early, but I'm willing to bet we'll hear similar comments in the quarters ahead.

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ServiceNow CEO Bill McDermott said:

"I do see the budgets not only going up in IT, but also just see genAI becoming more of a business imperative. And if you can increase productivity, take cost out and show that in a value case this money will be spent and maybe different people approving it, but the money will be spent.

I believe that a lot of the business operating spend will be moved to GenAI technology use cases that serve the business."

This AI budget theme and process transformation storyline will likely resurface at Knowledge 2024 May 7-9 in Las Vegas.

Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai said "AI transformation is making everyone think about their whole stack." Translation: It's a stack that will be both horizontal across a business and vertical by business function.

Microsoft CFO Amy Hood noted:

"It's about spending in other areas that we don’t traditionally think of as being in the IT budget spend under a CIO. It’s spend being done by the Head of Customer Service; it’s spend being done by the Head of Marketing. And I do think that will be important as we think about the opportunity ahead."

Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft, said generative AI is being wrapped into transformation, process optimization and culture change projects. "OpEx dollars will go into (GenAI) tool spend. We see that in customer service. We see that in sales. We see that in marketing. Anywhere, there’s operations," said Nadella.

"One of the interesting rate limiters here is culture change inside of organizations. I think culture change means process change. At the end of the day companies will have to take a process, simplify the process, automate the process and apply these solutions," said Nadella.

This post first appeared in the Constellation Insight newsletter, which features bespoke content weekly and is brought to you by Hitachi Vantara.

What's clear from AWS' results is that cloud budgets are going up and the company's approach to Amazon Bedrock, Amazon Q and model choices is resonating. AWS is likely to garner more of the IT budget pie even as AI budgets are spread around, but don't be surprised if boardrooms start asking about Amazon Q, automation and agents to carry out tasks.

Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said:

"We have a lot of growth in front of us, and that's before the generative AI opportunity, which I don't know if any of us have seen a possibility like this in technology in a really long time, for sure, since the cloud, perhaps since the Internet.

All of this generative AI set of workloads, which will transform every experience, is going to be built from scratch on the cloud largely."

What's unclear is whether that building will be carried out by business units, IT or some centralized AI transformation department. Either way the genAI money is going to be spread around the enterprise.

See more:

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Tableau and Salesforce Eye Next Wave of Analytics and BI

Tableau Conference highlights Pulse and Einstein Copilot. Execs outline 'next wave' advances including cloud-scale data, agile semantics, actionable insights, and composable assets.

 

What will the next wave of analytics and business intelligence (BI) bring? Tableau used its annual conference 2024, held April 29-May 1 in San Diego, to present its vision and to get feedback from the nearly 9,000 customers in attendance.

 

Tableau Conference (TC) 2024 was a flashback, in many ways, to annual events from the vendor's independent days. In fact, there was a deliberate effort to tone down the Salesforceification of Tableau. The Salesforce mascots were gone from the keynote stage, and so, too, were prominent signs of Salesforce branding and the overt Salesforce sales pitches shared at last year’s event. Instead, the Tableau brand and “DataFam” took the spotlight, and Tableau Visionaries and Tableau Ambassadors helped to whip up the crowd for annual TC rituals from Devs on Stage to the IronViz competition.

 

The Announcements

 

The two biggest headlines from Tableau Conference centered on Tableau Pulse, the concise, business-user-oriented interface that became generally available in February, and Einstein Copilot for Tableau, the vendor’s coming generative AI (GenAI) capability. Pulse stands out in that it's a new and democratizing analytics user experience that's now included with existing Tableau Creator, Explorer and Viewer subscriptions. In contrast to conventional dashboards, Pulse insights present concise, easy-to-consume key performance indicators based on metrics that are curated for specific users and user groups.

 

Source: Tableau

 

Tableau Pulse insights are shared through email digests, consumed through the Tableau Mobile app, and added to Slack chats and, soon (as was announced at TC), Microsoft Teams discussions. Barely two months into general availability, Tableau Pulse has been deployed by some 3,000 customer firms with, thus far, 9,000-plus monthly active users, and roughly 1,000 more users being added per week.

 

One customer exec I spoke to, who is piloting Pulse among finance users and manufacturing plant managers, said that where traditional dashboards are exploratory, Pulse insights are explanatory. These focused, to-the-point insights are better suited to driving action, she said. Coming capabilities for Pulse include real-time alerting, ad hoc Q&A drawing on GenAI vector search capabilities, and metrics layer bootstrapping, which will enable authors and explorers to curate Pulse metrics from existing dashboards and data sets.

 

Einstein Copilot for Tableau, which saw its beta release at TC, will bring GenAI capabilities to interfaces staring with Web Authoring and, set for beta release next month, Tableau Data Prep and Tableau Catalog. While several vendors have already released GenAI capabilities, Tableau execs said they’re being deliberate about the release in order to gain customer feedback and ensure that the assistants are truly helpful and not prone to hallucination. They also stressed that Tableau’s copilots will be assistants rather than replacements for people.  

 

Other notable feature announcements from the conference included:

  • Viz Extensions. Now available in the Tableau Exchange, Viz Extensions are designed to ease the creation of complex visualizations, such as Sankey diagrams, while also supporting a variety of third-party, open-source visualization libraries, such as D3.
  • VizQL Data Service This public API enables developers to build custom apps harnessing Tableau services. The API also is a big step toward Tableau supporting headless BI (meaning providing insight services without requiring the Tableau front-end visualization experience).
  • Shared dimensions. This option is designed to make it easy to bring fact tables together and to build new data models in an agile way.
  • Address Geocoding.  This feature makes mapping even easier by automatically converting address fields into geocoded data points.

The Vision

Tableau's Chief Product Officer, Southard Jones, leads a keynote presentation on the next wave of analytics and BI.

 

Tableau executives weren't just there to celebrate the brand's past. Southard Jones, chief product officer, and Padmashree Koneti, SVP product management, also shared a sober look at analytics and BI challenges that remain, and they solicited customer feedback on a “next wave” vision presentation on how Tableau plans to solve these challenges (with help from Salesforce). 

 

Challenge 1: Data landscape is large and fragmented. The answer to this problem, said Jones, lies in providing a real-time, single source of truth at cloud scale. The solution shown to solve this challenge was Salesforce Data Cloud, but Jones later told analysts that Tableau also will be open to third-party options such as Databricks, Snowflake, Amazon Redshift, and Google BigQuery.

 

Challenge 2: Users don't trust data or insights. This problem is addressed by "agile semantics for trusted insights." Jones said work is underway on a semantics layer, with details to be announced at Dreamforce. (During analyst sessions, multiple execs had “no comment” on whether the recently rumored Salesforce acquisition of Informatica – a rumor later disavowed by both companies – might have advanced the effort to build a semantic layer.)

 

Challenge 3: Insights are overlooked or ignored. The answer to this problem is delivering "actionable insights where people work." A keynote demo showed embedding of Pulse insights within third-party apps, such as Workday, as well as analytics being used as triggers for business workflows. Jones later told analysts that Salesforce Flow (workflow) and MuleSoft (integration) can easily be leveraged to make insights actionable within the flow of work and business processes.

 

Challenge 4: You can't reuse what you build. The answer here, Jones said, lies in providing "reusable and composable assets," with an ability to "package up assets and deploy them in another workspace or even monetize the assets in a marketplace.” Jones later told analysts that Tableau will be able to leverage Salesforce's widely used, declarative Lightning development platform and marketplaces, as well as Flow and the semantic layer, to better package up and reuse assets.

 

Constellation’s Analysis

 

Given that some 70% percent of Tableau customers do not use other Salesforce products, Tableau execs struck all the right chords to reestablish the importance of the brand and the DataFam, and to reinforce Tableau’s differentiation as a best-of-bread analytics and BI market leader. At the same time, they also acknowledged that Salesforce, with its deep pockets, its huge ecosystem, and its bevy of existing tech assets, will be indispensable and inseparable in helping Tableau to evolve. For example, Tableau now runs on Salesforce Hyperforce on AWS, and Tableau’s AI and GenAI is being built on Salesforce AI assets and its Einstein Trust Layer.

 

Salesforce and Tableau are far from alone in going after the four data and analytics problems described above. AWS, Google and Microsoft, among others, are all stepping up on the semantic modeling and metadata management fronts, even as astute customers have already embraced independent options, such as dbt Labs. And Salesforce and Tableau are certainly not alone in moving toward actionable and embedded analytics, a trend I've been writing about advocating for years.

 

The truth is that Salesforce itself needs to address the four problems if it is to better harness data and drive all forms of AI. And Tableau and its customers need Salesforce to succeed if they are to gain cutting-edge AI capabilities. I, for one, got the sense at TC that execs have finally figured out the symbiotic relationship between Salesforce and Tableau. And I, like many customers, am hopeful that it will be possible for Salesforce to let Tableau be Tableau without hard-selling Salesforce products or closing off third-party options.   

 

Success in the next wave will depend on finally reaching all those business users who aren’t interacting with analytics and BI as we know it.  But that won’t happen unless the data professionals – the Tableau Creator class – can gain super productivity through AI assistance so they can deliver insights to many more business users in the flow of their work.  

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Apple Q2 better than expected, China sales lower but better than feared

Apple's second quarter results were better-than-expected, but revenue fell 4% from a year ago. The company said it plans to buy back an additional $110 billion in shares.

The company reported second quarter earnings of $1.53 a share on revenue of $90.8 billion. Wall Street was looking for Apple to report second quarter earnings of $1.51 a share on revenue of $90.61 billion.

In a statement, Apple CEO Tim Cook touted the launch of the Apple Vision Pro and plugged the company's upcoming iPad event and Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC).

By the numbers:

  • iPhone sales in the second quarter were $45.96 billion, down from $51.33 billion a year ago.
  • Mac sales in the second quarter were $7.45 billion, up from $7.17 billion a year ago.
  • iPad sales in the second quarter were $5.56 billion, down from $6.67 billion a year ago
  • Wearables revenue was $7.9 billion down from $8.76 billion a year ago.
  • Services revenue in the second quarter was $90.75 billion, down from $94.84 billion a year ago.

China revenue was a big worry going into the results. Sales were down in the second quarter but not as bad as feared. Apple's second quarter China revenue was $16.37 billion, down from $17.8 billion a year ago. 

Apple's iPhone's market share in China fell to 15.7% in the first quarter from 19.7% a year ago as Huawei gained share, according to CounterPoint Research.

As for the outlook, Apple projected June quarter total revenue growth of low single digits including foreign exchange headwinds. Gross margins will be between 45.5% and 46.5%. 

Here's a look at the takeaways from the Apple second quarter conference call:

Generative AI and WWDC. Cook said AI and generative AI are "a big opportunity across our products." He said:

"We continue to feel very bullish about our opportunity and generative AI we are making significant investments and we're looking forward to sharing some very exciting things with our customers soon. We believe in the transformative power and promise of AI and we believe we have advantages that will differentiate us in this new era, including Apple's unique combination of seamless hardware, software and services integration, groundbreaking Apple silicon, with our industry leading neural engines, and our unwavering focus on privacy, which underpins everything we create."

"I do see a key opportunity, as I've mentioned before, with generative AI across the vast majority of our devices."

China. "People have such a great affinity for Apple and it's one of the many reasons I'm so optimistic about the future," said Cook. He said:

"If you look at the top selling smartphones iPhones are the top two in urban China. We opened a new store in Shanghai and the reception was very highly energetic. I maintain great view of China in the long term." 

Enterprise. Apple said enterprises are interested in Vision Pro and the company is seeing "many compelling use cases." Enterprise interest in Apple remains strong across products, added Cook. 

Constellation Research analyst Holger Mueller said that Apple needs to rev the innovation engine and its generative AI story can't come soon enough. He said:

"Apple thrives and dives with the iPhone. The quarter shows that a drop $5.5B of iPhone revenue cannot be made up by increases in product revenue (but only Mac sales were up) and services revenue (even though it was a record breaking quarter in services). The lack of innovation that hits the top line is also clear, with the launch of the Apple Vision Pro falling in the quarter and wearables were down by other $800M. The only bright spot on the geography side was Europe. Apple trimmed its cost of sales over $4B – so it managed to show constant EPS but on almost 400,000 less (basic) shares. The $110B stock repurchase program will help to make the EPS KPI more favorable. At the end of the day, it is only innovation around the iPhone that can maintain – or even grow – Apple as we knew it."

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80% Emissions Reduction by 2050 | Sustainability 50 Interviews

 

Constellation Insights Editor-in-Chief Larry Dignan interviews Missy Stults, a 2024 Sustainability 50 winner, about the sustainability initiatives she's leading for Ann Arbor, Michigan.

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