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Sovereign Cloud, Same AWS: Inside the European Build-Out

Today, AWS announced the general availability of a new, independent cloud for Europe. This new service is based entirely within the EU and operates independently from other AWS locations. Join Constellation Research analyst Holger Mueller in a conversation with Mustafa Isik, Chief Technologist for Sovereign Cloud at AWS, live from AWS re:Invent. They dive deep into the AWS European Sovereign Cloud, why it’s needed, and what it means for data residency, security, and AI in Europe.

Discover:

- Why AWS says it is “sovereign by design” and why that’s no longer enough for some EU customers
- The 7.8 billion euro investment behind the AWS European Sovereign Cloud
- Why the first sovereign “nucleus region” is being built in Brandenburg, Germany
- How AWS is delivering a full AWS region (not a lesser cloud) with the same services, APIs, SLAs, and resilience
- The shift to EU-based and eventually EU-passport-holding operators for sensitive workloads
- The new legal entity structure and what it means for compliance and control
- How AWS is handling global dependencies and source code access for true digital sovereignty
- Why generative AI services will be available from day one in the European Sovereign Cloud

If you care about digital sovereignty, regulated industries, public sector cloud, and AI in Europe, this conversation is a must-watch.
 

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Quantinuum preps IPO

Quantinuum will file for an initial public offering.

The quantum computing company will confidentially file its S-1 with the Securities and Exchange Commission to offer shares. Honeywell, majority owner of Quantinuum, announced the IPO in a statement.

Details about the offering are sparse. The number of shares, price range and financial disclosures will come at a later date.

Quantinuum will likely be the most high profile quantum computing player to launch an IPO. Quantum companies had a banner year in 2025 raising funds via secondary stock offerings.

The company is valued at $10 billion following its latest venture round. Quantinuum also launched its Helios quantum computing and enterprise customers.

One thing worth watching is whether the Quantinuum IPO sucks capital flows away from the current publicly traded field, which is led by IBM, IonQ, D-Wave, Rigetti and others. In addition, Infleqtion is planning to go public via a SPAC merger with Churchill Capital Corp X under the ticker INFQ.

Research: Constellation ShortListâ„¢ Quantum Computing Platforms | Quantum Computing Software Platforms | Quantum Full Stack Player

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Walmart's agentic commerce vision: Practical, personalized, immersive and less scrolling

Walmart's head of AI acceleration, product and design riffed on OpenAI ChatGPT and Google Gemini for agentic commerce, transformation, the retailer's role in the AI economy and the future of customer experience and why shoppers will "be doing a lot less scrolling."

Speaking at the ICR Conference, Walmart's Daniel Danker, Executive Vice President of AI Acceleration, Product & Design, recapped a busy week on the agentic commerce front. Walmart announced a partnership with Google revolving around Gemini agentic commerce efforts. The retail giant already had a big partnership with OpenAI's ChatGPT commerce efforts.

"This is the year where tinkering becomes transformation," said Danker. "We will be delivering transformative experiences in commerce."

Will Walmart be disintermediated by AI agents? Danker wasn't worried. He said:

"I see this very clearly as a growth opportunity. There are a few key components that make this a growth opportunity that we've been very intentional about, and which I think set us up really well to serve customers even as the environments shift. One, it goes back to that combination of assortment, price and speed. That combination means that Walmart shows up a lot inside of Gemini and ChatGPT because we offer such a complete package for customers. That doesn't just serve one need but serves a whole bunch of needs.

Two, the approach of having their agents work together with our agent and creating an experience, a Walmart-powered experience that shows up directly inside of those environments means that we're orchestrating an intelligent handoff between the products so -- rather than being invisible on the customer's journey."

Danker said AI agents from Google and OpenAI ultimately work with Walmart's Sparky shopping agent. Walmart could be co-opting the AI platforms instead of being disrupted by them. Walmart is positioning itself as the execution and fulfilment backbone of AI discovery and commerce.

"It's very early days in terms of how those integrations work. With Google we're essentially having their AI agent, Gemini, partner with our AI agent to create a unified shopping journey. And that's a fancy way of saying that when a customer discovers something on Gemini, Gemini might recommend a new TV, a wine stain remover, et cetera, it calls up our agent and enables us to offer the customer a very familiar and personalized experience directly within Gemini. So almost imagine it like a window inside of Gemini that -- where our shopping agent kicks in and helps you complete that purchase," said Danker.

Danker said Walmart's goal is to know the customer and provide an experience wherever they are. And shopping behavior is also more practical. The promise of agentic AI isn't necessarily finding new customers as well as it is automating shopping tasks. "We understand customers so well that we know that they're probably running out of laundry detergent. It's also recognizing that because they tend to buy a gallon of milk, they're probably in a 4-person household, so they're probably going through laundry detergent at a certain pace. And so, we know the right moment to recommend that laundry detergent. Agentic AI will then just go ahead and send you the laundry detergent before you even run out of it. So that's the promise. We're on a journey toward it. We're not quite there yet, but we're moving fast," explained Danker.

What's the future of agentic commerce?

Danker was asked about the future of agentic commerce and the bet is that it will be extremely practical. Here's what he said:

Practical wins. "This all really does come back down to customer problems that we all know, we all experience. So, for us, AI really needs to have purpose. And our entire strategy and plan with AI is built with a purpose that we think needs to be extremely practical. It doesn't need to be overcomplicated. Now the technology is complicated. The technology is incredible. The customer problems we need to solve are very practical. And so, the whole road map is built around those," said Danker.

Personalization is the experience. "If you look back a few years from now at the product are going to be that it truly feels personal, that it actually understands not just that individual shopping journey, but it understands your household, your behaviors, your dietary needs, your health needs, the community in which you live. So, it will feel much more personal. We've been using this word personalization for a little bit too long so it feels like we've done that already. But I would argue that we've just barely scratched the surface on personalization, and AI is going to take us to a new place there," said Danker.

Immersive. Danker said that e-commerce was taking a panoramic view of a physical store and trying to staple it to a small screen. Every category from fashion to pet food will be different. Shopping devices will evolve and include devices such as smart glasses. "We're going to be doing a lot less scrolling. Those experiences are going to become more human, more connected," said Danker.

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Microsoft's big idea: Be a good AI neighbor as NIMBY scales

Microsoft is getting ahead of the thing that's most likely to derail AI infrastructure--NIMBY, or not in my back yard.

The company outlined a plan called Community-First AI Infrastructure, which boils down to being a good neighbor and taking steps so AI data centers don't raise electricity prices and deplete resources for locals.

Aside from power, NIMBY is going to be a big hurdle for AI infrastructure. Some communities have embraced AI infrastructure and provided tax breaks only to see local electricity prices surge. For instance, the Northern Virginia area, which is home to multiple data centers with more on deck, has seen electricity prices surge. A variety of news reports have captured local pushback to data center growth.

In a blog post, Microsoft outlined the key pillars of its plans. They include:

  • Microsoft will pay its own way for power so electricity prices aren't increase. The company said it will pay utility rates to cover its costs, collaborate with utilities to add more power, pursue efficient designs and push for policies for sustainable power.
  • The company will minimize its water use and replenish what it uses. Microsoft said it will offer more transparency and reduce the amount of water used by its data centers.
  • Microsoft will create jobs and invest in training for local construction workers and operations and partner with libraries, schools and non-profits.
  • The company won't ask municipalities for tax breaks for data centers so the money can be used for local services and infrastructure.

Microsoft's approach is getting ahead of what's likely to be a big issue. Look for other AI players to follow. Microsoft said:

"Residential electricity rates have recently risen in dozens of states, driven in part by several years of inflation, supply chain constraints, and long-overdue grid upgrades. Communities value new jobs and property tax revenue, but not if they come with higher power bills or tighter water supplies. Without addressing these issues directly, even supportive communities will question the role of datacenters in their backyard."

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Reflections on the Future and the Opportunity of Intelligent Work

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Have you ever attended an event and just had something stick in your head…for days or even weeks? Months? Since attending Smartsheet ENGAGE in early November 2025, a thought has been rattling around: what matters for work?

The dominant message of the event was the declaration that Smartsheet’s future would be focused on Intelligent Work Management (IWM)…a platform where people, data, process and AI work together, unified in a vision of not settling for the slog and instead move faster. As the snappy keynote intro video put it: “You can blindly hold on and watch potential slip beyond the horizon, or you can decide to lead and turn vision into execution faster than the pace of change.”

A passive visitor could easily leave well enough alone and take this new age of IWM at face value. Afterall, Smartsheet had been actively investing in a rebuilt platform, empowered by AI and agents and updates galore. But more investigation…more digging in and rethinking…is required. In an age when so much of what we talk about is linked to the concept of intelligence, why is it hard to get past this shift from collaboration as the key to work and just accept the idea of intelligent work?

First, one must break down what Collaborative Work Management (CWM) is supposed to deliver. For those who tend to have a distinctly functional bias, for example a marketer or CX leader more comfortable with a Marketing Work Management point of view where campaign calendars and product launch process templates dominate discussion…there is a need to see the bigger picture…to zoom out a bit.

CWM tools bring shared spaces, calendars, content and communications into a single work pane, bringing coordination and visibility to projects and tasks that are largely interconnected and dependent on one another. They bring order to chaos, streamlining and organizing what is often a cacophony of sound when a smoothly orchestrated symphony is in order. CWM tools can bring both agility and accountability to the most complex projects. It is built for organizations that want to move beyond management by spreadsheet or passive communication and is ideal for teams where people need to work in close alignment, even when they don’t work in close proximity.

For the most part, this is what customers have come to know and rely on Smartsheet to deliver: to be their trusted collaborative work engine that brings order to the chaos. Smartsheet customers most often talk about the flexibility, reliability and durability of the tools. The collaborative work management ethos celebrates how, where and when projects can move from a plan into action. Through this lens, the “future” of this work leans into ways in which data, AI and automations can advance and accelerate key tasks.

So, what is IWM? And how is it different from CWM?

The answer lies primarily in the shifting tides of work and technology, more specifically around AI, especially generative and agentic capabilities within the user experience and across solutions and applications. IWM relies on AI-powered insights and intelligence to manage work, learning as it goes, to turn passive activity into recommendations including different processes that can complete work more quickly and effectively. Over time and with the right work and the right data, these suggestions will become even more fluid, and actions can be taken autonomously in true agentic workflows.

While CWM centralizes project tasks, conversations and content, IWM takes those same tasks, conversations and content and establishes smarter paths to performance, automating tasks, streamlining processes and empowering AI agents to tackle the repetitive and mundane.

IWM focuses less on workflow speed and more on business velocity. Speed can, and is often increased thanks to collaboration, efficiency and combined effort, but speed just tells you how fast something has moved. Velocity, on the other hand, tells you how fast something has moved…and the direction of that movement. The goal of IWM is not only to reach the end of a project faster (which it still does) but crank up the velocity of work and the velocity of decisions to land with greater precision, impact and force. The fuel that powers speed is collaboration. The fuel that powers velocity is intelligence.

Translating rows of data to monitor project performance, identify trends, flag bottlenecks and recommend fixes in moments not months…this is intelligence set to work…and intelligence set to amplify velocity. Instead of leaning into the AI hype cycle attendees were not worrying about how they could build a digital workforce. Instead, conversations turned to how project managers could delegate work to digital agents.

That’s why a key line from newly minted CEO Rajeev Singh’s first ENGAGE keynote sprang into focus: “We will be a strategic platform, not a tactical tool.” This is perhaps the greatest and most tangible explanation about how IWM differs from CWM: strategy with intention.

Pratima Arora, Smartsheet’s Chief Product Officer, brought the ENGAGE audience to a familiar place: imagine it is late in the day after long hours of work, and everything looks fine. That is, until in the blink of an eye that high stakes project you and the team have been working on together, grinding on all gears, suddenly and inexplicably goes off the rails. In those moments, decisions don’t just get made…they get made with force and ideally conviction. They get made before it’s too late.

“It’s not just about having the right plan,” Arora noted from the keynote stage. “It’s about having the best insights that make the best decisions to deliver on that plan. But the problem is in critical moments, planning feels like guessing. Guessing is not a strategy.

We’ve all been in these situations…as a Marketer, with budget and spend decisioning on the line for a critical go to market initiative, the chaos of the unknown is only overshadowed by the complexity of the known variables and swamps of data that can make the most seasoned CMO question the most mundane decision. Then suddenly the market shifts. The unexpected sweeps the market sending months of planning into question and chaos.

While CWM tools can help a team react to the chaos, an IWM platform will have already allowed the marketing team’s project leader to run multiple scenarios and set AI agents to the task of testing for the unknown. With Scenario Planning, teams can use AI to automatically generate what-if scenarios, explore different paths, and decide the best way forward without disrupting live project plans. Yes, guessing isn’t a strategy. Similarly, gut isn’t intelligence. Daring to ask “what if” or “why not” shouldn’t come at a cost. And that cost should never be the success of any project.

As look back on Smartsheet ENGAGE 2025, it's perhaps this idea that the real future of work demands a new velocity for decisions so that decisions big or small can predictably accelerate the velocity of work. The goal here is to ensure that both the speed and direction of our actions, our strategies and our business outcomes are always in view. Without this new age of work management, all our work and our efforts are just addressing speed, held constant but never transforming. All our work ends up stuck on a treadmill, fooling us into believing we are in motion when we are just running in place.

So, here’s to another year bravely marching into this new future of work where agents aren’t taking over our work, but instead are being put to work because working faster than the pace of change demands decisions rooted in strategy and intelligence.

 

Image AI generated using Adobe Firefly Image 4 and Gemini Nano Banana. No real rabbits were turned into robots and forced to wear hoodies.

 

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Fiduciary Duty in the Gray Zone: What Boards Must Know About Converging Geopolitical and Technology Risks

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While global leaders gather in Davos to discuss "Cooperation in a Contested World," corporate Boards face a starker reality: your fiduciary duty now extends into the gray zone. This is not the world of traditional risk management. It is a domain where Advanced Persistent Threats (APTs) exploit hardware-level vulnerabilities to exfiltrate IP, where fragmented AI policies across 50 U.S. states create compliance nightmares that competitors exploit, and where nation-state actors target your brand equity as a geopolitical weapon.

The question is no longer whether your company will be targeted, but whether your Board understands that cybersecurity, AI governance, and geopolitical risk are now inseparable from corporate strategy and shareholder value.

 

The Convergence at Davos

In his analysis of the World Economic Forum's 2026 gathering, my friend and colleague Ray Wang posed a critical question that should keep every Board member awake at night: "In 2026 and beyond, will countries and companies have to choose a side between China vs the United States?" As Ray noted, the deepening rivalry between these powers creates a mutually exclusive relationship where strategic alignment with one comes at the expense of ties with the other. For Boards, this is not an abstract geopolitical debate. It is a daily operational reality that intersects with three immediate threats I want to address directly.

First, your hardware supply chains are compromised at levels most Boards do not yet comprehend. Second, the Balkanization of AI policy across both the United States and the rest of the free world creates strategic asymmetries that favor competitors operating under unified national frameworks. Third, gray zone conflict has made your company a target whether you realize it or not, and the attacks are designed to stay below the threshold that would trigger a traditional security response or even Board awareness.

Let me be direct: if your Board's risk committee is still treating cybersecurity as an IT issue, AI as a compliance checkbox, and geopolitics as someone else's problem, you are already behind.

 

Hardware Vulnerabilities: The 15-Year Systematic Campaign You Didn't Know Was Happening

During my time first as a Senior National Intelligence Service Executive and later as Chief Information Officer at the Federal Communications Commission, I confronted a reality that most corporate Boards still have not internalized. Advanced Persistent Threats are not opportunistic hackers looking for quick wins. They are nation-state operations with 15-year time horizons, systematic discipline, and one objective: position themselves so deeply in your infrastructure that by the time you discover them, it is too late.

These actors do not just exploit software vulnerabilities. They compromise hardware at the manufacturing level, embedding backdoors in chips, routers, and firmware that your security teams will never detect with conventional tools. They target the supply chain chokepoints where a single compromised component can give them access to thousands of downstream customers. And they are patient. They will sit dormant in your systems for years, exfiltrating IP, monitoring communications, and mapping your network until the moment they need to activate.

Ray's analysis highlighted that over $6 trillion will be invested in AI infrastructure by 2030. But here is what that statistic obscures: every data center, every AI accelerator chip, every network switch in that infrastructure represents a potential entry point for APTs if Boards do not demand hardware-level security verification from their vendors.

The strategic question for Boards is this: do you know where every critical component in your infrastructure was manufactured, by whom, and under what security protocols? If the answer is no, you have a fiduciary exposure that goes far beyond traditional cyber insurance.

 

The 50-State AI Policy Fragmentation: A Gift to Your Competitors

I have spent the past two years working with policymakers and industry leaders on AI frameworks on both sides of the aisle as well as external to the United States. What I have witnessed is a policy disaster unfolding in slow motion, and it is creating competitive disadvantages that most Boards have not yet quantified.

Right now, your company must navigate conflicting AI regulations across 50 U.S. states, each with different definitions of algorithmic accountability, data privacy, and bias testing. California has one framework. Texas has another. New York is developing a third. Meanwhile, your competitors in China operate under a unified national AI strategy with clear guidelines, centralized resources, and government backing.

This is not just a compliance cost issue, though those costs are real and growing. It is a strategic speed issue. While your legal team is parsing whether your AI model meets the requirements of all 50 states, your competitors are iterating, deploying, and capturing market share under coherent national policies.

The fragmentation also creates security vulnerabilities. When compliance requirements conflict across jurisdictions, companies often default to the lowest common denominator or create patchwork solutions that leave gaps. APTs and gray zone actors exploit these gaps ruthlessly. They study your compliance posture, identify the seams between state regulations, and target the vulnerabilities that emerge from trying to satisfy everyone.

For Boards, this raises a governance question that transcends the legal department: are you building AI systems that are merely compliant, or are you building systems that are strategically resilient in a contested global environment? There is a difference, and it matters.

 

Gray Zone Conflict: Your Company Is Already a Target

Let me introduce you to a concept I have been writing about for years: gray zone conflict. This is the space between peace and conventional warfare where state and non-state actors use cyberattacks, disinformation, economic pressure, and IP theft to achieve strategic objectives while staying below the threshold that would trigger a military response or even public awareness.

Your company is operating in this zone right now, whether your Board acknowledges it or not. And the attacks are not random. They are targeted, systematic, and designed to achieve one of three objectives: financial gain through ransomware or extortion, brand damage to undermine market position or public trust, or access to your secrets and IP to accelerate a competitor's capabilities or a nation's strategic industries.

I have seen gray zone operations unfold in real time during my career in the intelligence community and as a federal CIO. The sophistication is breathtaking. Adversaries will spend months studying your organization, identifying key employees, mapping relationships, and crafting social engineering campaigns that exploit human psychology, not just technical vulnerabilities. They will compromise a mid-level employee's personal device, pivot to corporate systems, and exfiltrate terabytes of data over months while your security operations center sees nothing unusual.

The brand damage operations are equally insidious. Adversaries will seed disinformation about your products, manipulate social media to amplify customer complaints, or leak selectively edited internal communications to create reputational crises that tank your stock price. And because these operations stay below the threshold of overt attack, your crisis communications playbook is often useless.

Here is what keeps me up at night: most Boards do not have visibility into gray zone threats until after the damage is done. Your quarterly risk reports focus on traditional metrics like cyber incident response times or compliance audit results. But gray zone operations are designed to evade those metrics. They succeed precisely because they do not trigger the alarms your systems are designed to detect.

 

What Boards Must Do: From Risk Management to Strategic Foresight

I have spent my career leading what I call "near impossible missions," from modernizing legacy systems at the FCC to directing technology-enabled bioterrorism responses to 9/11, anthrax in 2001, SARS in 2003, and more. The common thread in all these experiences is that traditional risk management frameworks are insufficient when you are facing adaptive, intelligent adversaries in rapidly changing environments.

Boards need to shift from reactive risk management to proactive strategic foresight. This means three things.

First, demand hardware-level security verification. Your procurement processes must include rigorous supply chain security assessments that go beyond vendor questionnaires. You need to know the provenance of every critical component, the security protocols at every manufacturing facility, and the verification methods that ensure no tampering occurred. This is not an IT issue. It is a Board-level strategic sourcing issue that affects the integrity of your entire operation.

Second, advocate for federal AI policy leadership. The 50-state fragmentation is not sustainable, and it is not in your shareholders' interests. Boards should be vocal in calling for light-touch federal frameworks that provide clarity, consistency, and competitive parity with other nations. This is not about stifling innovation. It is about creating the conditions where American companies can compete globally without one hand tied behind their backs by conflicting state mandates.

Third, build gray zone resilience into your governance model. This means expanding your risk committee's mandate to include geopolitical threat intelligence, not just cyber metrics. It means conducting tabletop exercises that simulate gray zone scenarios like IP theft campaigns, brand sabotage operations, or supply chain compromises. And it means developing decision elasticity, which is the ability to respond rapidly to ambiguous threats without waiting for perfect information or consensus.

 

The Agency Paradox and the Future of Corporate Governance

Throughout my work, I have observed what I call the Agency Paradox. As our technological tools become exponentially more powerful, our collective sense of human agency often feels increasingly fragile. For Boards, this paradox manifests in a troubling way: the more data and AI capabilities you have, the more you may feel overwhelmed by complexity and uncertainty rather than empowered by insight.

The solution is not to retreat from technology or to hand over decision-making to algorithms. The solution is to develop what I call decision elasticity, which is the ability to use AI and data to gather intelligence at scale while maintaining the nuanced, ethical judgment that only humans can provide. In the context of gray zone threats, this means using AI to detect anomalies and surface threats, but relying on human judgment to interpret ambiguous signals, assessing strategic context, and making decisions that balance security with values like privacy, transparency, and due process.

The most forward-thinking Boards I work with are already making this shift. They recognize that cybersecurity, AI governance, and geopolitical risk are not separate silos. They are interconnected dimensions of a single strategic challenge: how do we build resilient organizations that can thrive in a contested, rapidly changing world while preserving the human agency and ethical judgment that define great companies?

In Part 2 of this series, I will explore how Boards can operationalize this strategic foresight through AI-augmented defense and human-machine partnerships that balance speed with wisdom.

 

An Invitation to Deeper Dialogue

If your Board is grappling with these converging threats, if you recognize that traditional risk frameworks are insufficient, or if you simply want to stress-test your current approach against the realities of gray zone conflict and geopolitical competition, I invite you to engage in a deeper conversation.

My work as both as a Board Member and a senior advisor is major compaies is dedicated to helping Boards develop the strategic foresight and decision elasticity needed to navigate what I call "tech tectonics," which are the seismic shifts beneath the surface of global business. This is not about selling you a technology solution or a compliance framework. It is about building the governance capacity to make wise decisions in conditions of radical uncertainty.

The stakes could not be higher. As Ray noted in his Davos analysis, we are entering an era where the nature of work, the meaning of human existence, and the future social order are all in flux. For corporate Boards, the question is whether you will shape that future proactively or react to it after your competitors, your adversaries, and the market have already moved.

I have spent my career wrestling with these challenges, and I use the word "wrestling" deliberately. Leadership in this era is not a graceful dance. It requires constant engagement, humility, and a commitment to co-creating a future where technology serves human dignity rather than constraining it.

Your fiduciary duty now extends into the gray zone. The question is whether your Board is ready to govern accordingly.

 

Dr. David Bray is both Chair of the Accelerator and a Distinguished Fellow at the non-partisan Stimson Center as well as Principal and CEO at LeadDoAdapt Ventures, Inc. He previously served as a non-partisan Senior National Intelligence Service Executive, as Chief Information Officer of the Federal Communications Commission, and IT Chief for the Bioterrorism Preparedness and Response Program. Business Insider named him one of the top “24 Americans Changing the World” and he has received both the Joint Civilian Service Commendation Award and the National Intelligence Exceptional Achievement Medal. The U.S. Congress invited him to serve as an expert witness on AI in September 2025. He also advises corporate Boards and CEOs on navigating the convergence of AI, cybersecurity, and geopolitical risk.

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Can robots do boring work, save money, never complain? (Distillation Aftershots)

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Welcome to a new edition of The Board: Distillation Aftershots (*).

 

This newsletter shares curious and interesting insights and data points distilled from enterprise technology to identify what’s notable.  If you want to subscribe to the newsletter, in your inbox every Sunday morning, please click here.

 

In this issue, we will continue our discussion of robots and robotics. Previously, I wrote about humanoid robots and their limited usefulness. Today, I’d like to talk about functional robots… the ones that don’t look like us but do a good job.

 

First, my take. 

 

Last week, I made my case against humanoid robots: they are cute, work in movies, make me laugh, but they’re not valuable to businesses (for the most part; as with anything else, use cases apply). Many reasons, mostly related to efficiency versus costs (how much it costs to make a humanoid work like a human, when there’s no need for such complexity). 

 

This week, I want to discuss the opposite: the ROI inherent in non-humanoid robots and the efficiency they deliver as they move from innovation spend to infrastructure ROI. Treat is a system, not a tool, and it locks in structural cost and competitive advantages.  It is no longer a novelty; it works.

 

As shown in the resources below, large organizations have turned to robots to save time and money.  Whether we are talking about reducing health and life risks, speeding up processes, reducing costs, operating 24/7, automating manual tasks efficiently, or a combination of all these, we have proven that they work.  What started in the 1980s and 1990s in manufacturing plants became more impressive for smaller outfits as robotics improved (and costs decreased, naturally).

 

Whether it’s Amazon running a dark warehouse where Roomba-like robots move merchandise 24/7 to speed up shipping, or UPS loading and unloading trucks to balance labor and health issues, these scenarios should spark the imagination of any other organization.  Are there any repetitive tasks in your processes that could benefit from non-stop or safer operations?  Are there menial tasks that are taking valuable time from team members who could be working on higher-revenue tasks?  That’s the starting point.

 

More and more, robotics startups are moving to create highly-specialized, industry- and job-specific robots that return ROI in a short time (as low as six months, mostly fully repaid within two years).  And the merger (or, better said, integration) of AI and robotics, which we are experiencing now, will further change these equations. Imagine mixing the autonomy of thought of an agent, with the mechanized operations of a robot – no longer a single, static operation but a dynamic, “thinking” one.  

Imagine the possibilities – everyone else is, in 2026 and beyond.

 

Here are some reading resources:

 

  1. UPS deploys truck-unloading robots to optimize logistics, expanding a pilot program that showed great potential.  They demonstrated ROI by addressing labor availability, injury risk, and peak-volume volatility.  Published December 2025. 

  2. Danfoss deployed autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) integrated with compact storage to manage growth without expanding the warehouse footprint. Published 2025

  3. Walmart continues to roll out robots across its regional distribution centers, using fleets of high-speed mobile robots for picking, sorting, and palletizing. Because they were deployed as a supply-chain platform, the ROI extends beyond a single function to all interdependent functions. Published 2025.
  4. Starship’s sidewalk delivery robots crossed 9+ million autonomous deliveries for Uber Eats, operating at urban and campus scale.  One of the few robotics cases with multi-million transactions validating economics over novelty. Published 2025.
  5. Here’s a functional example, not tied to any one company: airports, hospitals, and others have adopted professional cleaning robots to address labor shortages and rising operating costs. Published 2025.
  6. A study reviewing numerous use cases and case studies found impressive results for organizations deploying functional robots: an average 18–24% ROI over 5 years; up to 30% reduction in labor costs; throughput gains of up to 40%; and space utilization improvements of up to 25%. Published September 2025.

What’s your take? We are fostering a community of executives who want to discuss these issues in depth. This newsletter is but a part of it. We welcome your feedback and look forward to engaging in these conversations.

 

If you are interested in exploring the full report, discussing the Board’s offering further, or have any additional questions, please contact me at [email protected], and I will be happy to connect with you.

 

(*) A normal distillation process produces byproducts: primary, simple ones called foreshots, and secondary, more complex and nuanced ones called aftershots. This newsletter highlights remnants from the distillation process, the “cutting room floor” elements, and shares insights to complement the monthly report.

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Google Gemini to power Apple Intelligence

Apple Intelligence as well as a new Siri will be based on Google's Gemini models.

The news, initially reported in August by Bloomberg, is a big win for Google. Apple has a partnership with OpenAI and has embedded ChatGPT into Apple devices.

Here's the joint statement:

"Apple and Google have entered into a multi-year collaboration under which the next generation of Apple Foundation Models will be based on Google's Gemini models and cloud technology. These models will help power future Apple Intelligence features, including a more personalized Siri coming this year.

After careful evaluation, Apple determined that Google's Al technology provides the most capable foundation for Apple Foundation Models and is excited about the innovative new experiences it will unlock for Apple users. Apple Intelligence will continue to run on Apple devices and Private Cloud Compute, while maintaining Apple's industry-leading privacy standards."

A few takeaways:

  • Google Gemini gets the win over OpenAI, which increasingly wants to compete with Apple devices.
  • This partnership between Google and Apple was the result of a favorable antitrust ruling in September.
  • Apple's use of Google's Private Cloud Compute makes for a nice customer reference.
  • If Apple can get its AI game together--no matter what it is paying Google--without the capital expenditures others in tech have spent the company is going to be a 2026 winner.
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Google launches agentic commerce tools, Universal Commerce Protocol, Gemini Enterprise for Customer Experience

Google is making its play to lead agentic AI commerce across its units as it combines AI Mode commerce features and agents with a new end-to-end commerce protocol and Google Cloud's Gemini Enterprise for Customer Experience.

Google launched Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP), a standard for agentic AI commerce, checkout directly through AI mode along with direct offers and interactions to connect brands and shoppers. Google Cloud also unveiled Gemini Enterprise for Customer Experience, a suite that includes a shopping agent, customer experience agent studio, Vertex AI powered search and food ordering agent.

The announcements, timed for the National Retail Federations 2026 conference, add up to Google providing various tools to enable agentic commerce in multiple forms with a unified platform.

In a nutshell, Google is looking to offer tools to enable shopping across the customer journey. Carrie Tharp, VP of Global Solutions and Industries at Google Cloud, said AI is moving from a passive tool to one that's more active and autonomous.

"Agents can execute complex, multi-step, prescriptive actions across every consumer and operational touch point, and every retailer now has the opportunity to bring their value proposition to life in fundamentally new ways through these agentic experiences," said Tharp. "Most retailers are still in the early days of evolving discovery and the modern customer journey is very fragmented with shoppers jumping between apps, search and physical aisles because legacy systems don't talk to each other. This is simple. AI isn't retailers' competition. It should be their superpower. We believe AI must serve retailers and shoppers alike."

Although Google faces plenty of commerce competition from OpenAI, Microsoft, Amazon and a bevy of others, the company does occupy a unique position given that it touches nearly every part of the retail budget from marketing and demand to back-end functions via Google Cloud. Google CEO Sundar Pichai was a headliner at NRF 2026.

Here's a breakdown of what Google announced at NRF 2026.

Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP)

UCP is designed to be an open standards for agentic commerce that works across the entire shopping journey from discovery and buying to post purchase support.

Vidhya Srinivasan, VP and GM of Ads and Commerce at Google, said UCP "sits between agentic experiences with consumer services on one hand and the business back-end on the other." She added that UCP is built to walk across industries and is compatible with Model Context Protocol, Agent2Agent and Agentic Payments Protocol.

UCP is supported by 20 retail and commerce players including Shopify, Etsy, Wayfair, Target, Best Buy, PayPal, Visa, Stripe and American Express.

Srinivasan said UCP will power a new checkout feature in Google's AI Mode and in search, but the company will add more partners and capabilities including discovering related products and applying loyalty rewards.

Shopify's Vanessa Lee, VP of Product, said UCP is designed to address more seamless checkouts.

"Checkouts are simple from a consumer perspective and we put a lot of energy and work as retailers and platforms to make that checkout experience seamless," she said. "But one of the things that we did with UCP was we wanted to acknowledge that there's actually a lot of work that goes on behind the scenes to make that checkout as seamless as possible. One thing that we learned over the last two decades was that every single checkout is unique, and we want agentic shopping to not just be for a subset of checkouts. We wanted it to be for ubiquitous across all of shopping."

UCP sets up a series of new agentic shopping features from Google.

Business Agent, Direct Offers

Google is launching Brand Agent as a headliner of a set of agentic commerce features and tools.

The company launched Business Agent, which chats and answers questions about retailers within a search. "One way to think about it is think it's think of it as a virtual sales associate that can just answer product questions in the brand's voice during those critical shopping moments, so that the retailers can just help drive sales," said Srinivasan.

Business Agent is live with anchor retailers including Lowe's, Poshmark and Reebok. In the months ahead, retailers will be able to train agents with their own data and insights and enable direct purchases in AI Mode.

Google also announced multiple new attributes in its Merchant Center to improve discovery in AI Mode and Gemini. "These new attributes complement retailers' existing data feeds, and they go beyond the traditional keywords to include things like answers to common product questions, things like compatible accessories or even substitutes. We'll be rolling these out to a set a group of retailers soon, with plans to expand in the coming months," said Srinivasan.

The company is also launching a new ads pilot called Direct Offers, which moves beyond traditional ads and targets people shopping in AI Mode. Free shipping, bundles and special deals would be included in Direct Offers. Shopify merchants, Rugs USA, e.l.f. Cosmetics, Petco and Samsonite are piloting Direct Offers.

Checkout in AI Mode is available through Google Pay.

Google Cloud Gemini Enterprise for Customer Experience

The company said the company's launch of Google Cloud Gemini Enterprise for Customer Experience is designed to give retailers the ability to build agents for retailers that maintain brand voice at every interaction across channels.

"These agents are not just for answering questions. They can inform the customer about inventory availability, guide them through order processing, suggest products they love, and handle a return seamlessly. Every touch point becomes an opportunity to delight and drive more business," said Darshan Kantak, VP of Product, Applied AI at Google Cloud.

The shopping agents in Gemini Enterprise for Customer Experience can carry out complex reasoning, multimodal interactions and execute actions. Papa John's Kevin Vasconi, Chief Digital and Technology Officer, said 85% of the company's orders are digital and the goal is to remove friction from the purchase.

Vasconi quipped that buying pizza isn't considered to be stressful unless you're ordering for your child's travel soccer team and navigating preferences and dietary restrictions.

"We're always thinking about how we turn a transaction into a personal experience. Not everybody has a personal shopper and we think this is a beautiful application of multimodal AI. We're trying to figure out how do we take the friction out of the experience. As good as it is, there's still a lot of friction in the experience," said Vasconi.

Google Cloud Gemini Enterprise for Customer Experience follows an emerging Google Cloud playbook as Gemini Enterprise is being rolled out to multiple verticals.

"Think of it as an ecosystem of smart, interconnected agents that are orchestrated to understand reason and to take action. It enables businesses to drive that high touch premium service from initial product discovery to post purchase resolution, while maintaining continuous context across each of the touch points," said Kantak. "When a retailer uses this technology, the AI experience belongs to them. It's built for their brand in their persona."

Gemini Enterprise for Customer Experience is also multimodal to handle images, video and voice as well as text. Kantak said Kroger and Lowe's are launch customers.

Kroger's Yael Cosset, SVP and Chief Digital Officer, said the grocer has a rich data set that can leverage agentic AI to tailor offers, make recommendation and give customers time back. "Consumers want to eat more at home, but have lack of time for the complexity and how overwhelming it can be to plan and ultimately shop for their groceries," he said. "The shopping companion Google is going to allow us to develop and roll out features that will alleviate that complexity. Agentic commerce is going to be a huge unlock to accelerate that emotional connection with the customer."

The company also launched a Customer Experience Agent Studio where customers can upload transcripts, products and product information and an agent builds another one and evaluates quality. Monitoring is also built in.

Kantak added that Google Cloud is also looking to connect human agents and AI agents with two new customer service tools--AI Coach and AI Trainer. AI Coach provides real-time guidance to human reps and AI Trainer speeds up onboarding.

Other additions include:

  • Discovery Engine, which uncovers service trends with natural language queries.
  • Quality AI, which is a system that understands every conversation happening, creates insights and scorecards.
  • Food Agent, which is part of the Google Cloud Gemini Enterprise for Customer Experience suite, and can enable voice ordering across kiosks, drive throughs and car dashboards. The Food Agent will also have the ability to upsell and automate processes. Papa John's is a launch customer.
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Why enterprise AI leaders need to bank on open-source LLMs

Nvidia, which is quickly becoming the champion of AI open-source models in the US, argues that open AI models are roughly six months behind more expensive proprietary frontier models. If that's the case, CxOs should base nearly all of their AI plans around open-source models.

In Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's CES 2026 keynote, there were a lot of talk about agentic AI systems, physical AI and robotics, but his open-source comments stuck with me. He said the following (emphasis added):

"We now know that AI is going to proliferate everywhere with open-source and open innovation across every single company and every industry around the world is activated at the same time. We have open model systems all over the world of all different kinds and they have also reached the frontier. Open-source models are solidly six months behind the frontier models, but these models are getting smarter and smarter."

Nvidia backed up its open model case with releases of new Nvidia Nemotron models (speech, RAG, Safety) for agentic AI, Cosmos models for physical AI, Alpamayo for autonomous vehicles, GR00T for robotics and Clara for biomedical.

The number of companies using Nvidia's open-source models are very familiar including ServiceNow, Cadence, CrowdStrike, Caterpillar and a bevy of others. "Not only do we open,source the models, but we also open source the data we used to train those models. Only in that way can you truly trust how those models came to be," Huang said. “That's something Meta never did with its Llama model.”

Huang said 80% of startups are building on open models, and that a quarter of OpenRouter tokens are generated by open models.

With the gap between open-source AI models and proprietary models closing why would an enterprise bet on a frontier model that will only have a lead of 6 months?

What's in it for Huang? Nvidia will obviously have the GPU and AI stack for the training and inference. Nvidia's software stack also dominates for AI. Simply put, Nvidia doesn't need a model for its business model. In other words, commodity LLMs are fine for most use cases--including yours.

Good enough and cheap enough

Huang's comments aren't that surprising given that enterprises are tweaking commodity models with their proprietary data. One of the bigger announcements out of AWS re:Invent revolved around easy customization of its Nova models. Nvidia’s software and models are being integrated into Palantir, ServiceNow and Siemens. ServiceNow used Nvidia Nemotron for its Apriel Nemotron 15B reasoning model for lower cost and latency agentic AI. Siemens expanded its Nvidia partnership that includes integration of Nemotron models.

“We built on Nvidia Nemotron for the next generation of our platform, which enables customers to do extraordinary things with large language model power at a fraction of the big model cost, zero latency, total security, no hallucination and a cost-effective ROI,” said ServiceNow CEO Bill McDermott, on the company’s third quarter earnings call.

Although software vendors are leveraging Nvidia’s Nemotron models, making most CxOs users by default, there are signs enterprises are going Nvidia and open models. Caterpillar outlined its AI plans with a dose of Nvidia Nemotron and Qwen3 models as did PepsiCo with digital twin efforts via Siemens. Hyundai said it was leveraging Nvidia Nemotron models last year.

Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff also noted that LLMs are commoditizing. He said in December: "We use all of the large language models. They're all great. We love all of them. We love all of our children, but they're also all just commodities, and we can have the choice of choosing whatever one we want, whether it's OpenAI or Gemini or Anthropic or there's other open-source ones. They're all very good at this point. So, we can swap them in and out. The lowest cost one is the best one for us, making us basically the top user of these foundation models."

Benioff’s mantra applies to enterprises too: The lower cost one is the best one.

What's in it for you?

I'd argue that there will be few if any enterprise use cases that will require a bleeding edge LLM. And if you can wait six months for an open-source option to catch up (likely from Nvidia at this point) why would you blow your cost curve on a high-end model?

You can use a series of open models to form an agentic system. The whole is greater than the parts and the parts need to be cheaper.

You'll obviously have to evaluate open-source options, commoditized LLMs and cheaper models and gauge ease of customizing with your data, but there should be a high bar to go proprietary where you just might be locked in.

It's unclear what this will mean for the likes of OpenAI, Anthropic or Google and Gemini, but that's not your problem. Your job is to drive AI returns and that'll increasingly mean open-source and commoditized models.

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