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Big Idea: Prioritize Long Term Investment Mindset Over Short Term Profits

Big Idea: Prioritize Long Term Investment Mindset Over Short Term Profits

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American Airlines OneWorld

Short Term Thinking Crushes Traditional Companies In Fight Against Digital Giants

If legacy companies want to compete with data giants in the age of extreme capitalism, spending capital on innovation needs to STOP being sacrificed for short-term profits.

In 2005, a survey by the Duke Fuqua business school showed that 55% of CFO's at 400 of America's largest public companies would rather sacrifice their firm's economic value to meet a quarterly expectation. Sadly, not much has changed since then.

Don't believe me? Look no further than the airline industry post-COVID-19.

Take American Airlines, which filed for bankruptcy in 2011 but became profitable again by 2014. During six years of record profits, the airline still failed to put together a rainy-day fund for a crisis. It also failed to modernize its technology systems, aircraft, and operating procedures to improve digital channels, enhance analytics, and develop better planning capabilities. Instead, it spent $12 billion of its positive cash flow since 2014 in stock buybacks. American isn't alone, either. Most airlines spent 97% of their free cash flow on buybacks from 2010 to 2020.

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Your POV

Does your organization take the long view or prioritize short term profits?  Are you reinvesting enough into innovation? Add your comments to the blog or reach me via email: R (at) ConstellationR (dot) com or R (at) SoftwareInsider (dot) org. Please let us know if you need help with your AI and Digital Business transformation efforts. Here’s how we can assist:

  • Developing your digital business strategy
  • Connecting with other pioneers
  • Sharing best practices
  • Vendor selection
  • Implementation partner selection
  • Providing contract negotiations and software licensing support
  • Demystifying software licensing

Reprints can be purchased through Constellation Research, Inc. To request official reprints in PDF format, please contact Sales.

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Marketing’s Complex Reaction to Ending the War

Marketing’s Complex Reaction to Ending the War

When Carl von Clausewitz penned On War in 1873, I seriously doubt he had marketing in mind, but in his articulation of the “fog of war” he proves that he gets us.

War is the realm of uncertainty; three-quarters of the factors on which action in war is based are wrapped in a fog of greater or lesser uncertainty. A sensitive and discriminating judgement is called for; a skilled intelligence to scent out the truth.

Now…go back and replace “War” with “Marketing.” I’ll wait here.

Our reality, as a culture, is that we have based our actions and language around war. We execute campaigns. We target. We blast. We relish when small actions go viral: like handing out smallpox infected blankets, we enjoy when something we knowingly unleash infects an unwitting population. We draw battle lines and segment our enemy, carefully noting their behaviors to exploit weaknesses. We hide code in the pixels and stalk our prey.

In military war games, the application of intelligence and enemy tracking, especially through friendly force tracking systems, is key to developing a winning strategy by understanding the behaviors and context of a target to determine the optimal time, attack vector and defense posture needed to win both the battle and the war. Go ahead and let me know when this stops feeling like a MarTech pitch.

In marketing’s culture of war, who is the enemy combatant? The customer is our enemy.

Now. Imagine that in this decades long game of war, someone comes along and says, sorry but we intend to cut off a key stream of skilled intelligence. In fact, we are going to demand that you must proclaim openly and clearly to your enemy what ammunition you have collected, how you will be using your ammunition and give clear opportunity for your enemy to walk off the battlefield with zero penalty or threat of attack. Not only that, but we are also going to cut off your supply of ammunition you obtain through other parties.

The death of the 3rd party cookie and the introduction of Apple’s App Tracking Transparency (ATT) has sent some marketers (and more than a few ad and social platforms) into a tailspin. The demise of the cookie, in particular, has been slowly ratcheting up the stress levels as brands and agencies come to terms with just how often 3rd party cookie data is leveraged for everything from “personalization” (yeah, I put it in quotes…) to campaign optimization.

But let’s take a breath and just look at consumer behaviors in the wake of the ATT launch in iOS 14.5. According to a study from Flurry Analytics, a whopping 96% of users in the US are opting OUT of ad tracking. Their tracking notes that from a sample of 2.5 million daily active users, about 4% are allowing apps access to the Identifier for Advertisers (IDFA). On the other side of the data-shock canal is a study from the team at AppsFlyer in which over 13.2 million instances of a prompt being shown to an end-user. In this study, 39% of those prompts resulted in the user tapping the ALLOW button. The highest rate of “allow” opt-in were across apps like photography (64%), Shopping (44%), finance (42%), food & drink (42%) and non-gaming apps (42%).

Two dramatically different data points from dramatically different points of view. What IS clear, regardless of data source: apps and brands that hold a pre-existing level of affinity with their user are enjoying the benefit of the relationship. Casual gamers, who are typically transient and bounce from farm to farm or puzzle to puzzle, are not typically brand-loyal…and their opt-outs are demonstrating that. For these developers, we are seeing an increase in requests for account sign-ups or pre-ATT prompt content that provides more space to share messages that are in context to the app and displayed at a time that feels less dire and intrusive than the ATT prompt.

Those developers who have taken the time to articulate the VALUE of this requested exchange are also avoiding falling off the cliff. It could be argued they are, for the first time, having an open and honest value exchange discussion with their new partner, the customer.

Customers are tired of being treated like the enemy, being forced to dodge and weave their way through brand’s interpretation of “personalization” that can often be more impersonal and aggravating than mutually valued and valuable. This new age of the customer is asking marketing as an industry and a strategy to rethink our posture of war. In the absence of certain weapons, is there another way to build points of connection between the goals of our businesses and the goals of our customers.

Marketing’s job is shifting from being the General perched on top of the fill looking to pierce the fog of war to craft winning strategy and more like a seasoned host or hostess that can understand that exact moment our guests could really use another glass of wine…and be ready with the perfect sip to keep the relationship and revelry going. It is about knowing who is and isn’t lactose intolerant…and accepting those last-minute curveballs of Kelly being vegan. Afterall, you don’t blast Kelly with information about burgers when she is telling everyone about Veganuary…yet that’s exactly what you do if Kelly is the enemy and you need to control her and force her to eat chicken.

It is easy (and understandable) to have big and bold reactions to the new path of privacy and customer-valued and defined identity. These shifts can feel like the rug is being pulled out from under our strategies. But they are also an opportunity to lean into the behaviors, intentions and higher-fidelity signals our customers are leaving across our own 1st party sources. This is why we’ve seen so many technology solutions from B2B like Demandbase to B2C like Criteo leaning into better ways to deliver efficient and effective engagements through 1st party data stores.

Regardless of where the cookie crumbles, the first thing we need to accept and change is our culture. We need to admit we have been fighting a war. We need to wave the white flag so we can see just how many of our customers are relieved and ready to welcome us to a new party.

New C-Suite Marketing Transformation Next-Generation Customer Experience Chief Marketing Officer Chief Digital Officer

Big Idea: It took 50 years for markets to consolidate down to a few dominant players. Now it takes ten.

Big Idea: It took 50 years for markets to consolidate down to a few dominant players. Now it takes ten.

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Big Idea: It took 50 years for markets to consolidate down to a few dominant players. Now it takes ten. Everybody Wants To Rule The World July 13, 2021 rwang0 Wed, 05/05/2021 - 12:55

The Pace Of Change Continues To Accelerate

It took 50 years for markets to consolidate down to a few dominant players. Now it takes ten.

Countless industries went through gradual reorganization from hundreds or thousands of small players down to a couple of giants. But until very recently, the keyword was “gradual.” There’s no longer going to be a monopoly in each industry. In the next ten years, I expect to see about 100 dominant players in 50 distinct markets worldwide, in most cases with a duopoly of two giants per market.

Those giants won’t be equally strong. The first company to establish a Data-Driven Digital Networks (DDDN) will usually apply its first-mover advantage to take about half of the total addressable market. A second, more reactionary player will take about a quarter of the total addressable market. The remaining 30% (give or take) will go to small players who find ways to survive but have no hope of catching up to the giants. The monopoly has now become a duopoly.

My forthcoming book, Everybody Wants to Rule the World, outlines the very ways in which our playing field is changing and how you can compete to not only keep up but to win. It will be available everywhere on July 13th.

Get the latest book Everybody Wants To Rule The World

Your POV

Do you see your industry collapsing around value chains?  Who are the duopolies in your space? Add your comments to the blog or reach me via email: R (at) ConstellationR (dot) com or R (at) SoftwareInsider (dot) org. Please let us know if you need help with your AI and Digital Business transformation efforts. Here’s how we can assist:

  • Developing your digital business strategy
  • Connecting with other pioneers
  • Sharing best practices
  • Vendor selection
  • Implementation partner selection
  • Providing contract negotiations and software licensing support
  • Demystifying software licensing

Reprints can be purchased through Constellation Research, Inc. To request official reprints in PDF format, please contact Sales.

Disclosures

Although we work closely with many mega software vendors, we want you to trust us. For the full disclosure policy,stay tuned for the full client list on the Constellation Research website. * Not responsible for any factual errors or omissions.  However, happy to correct any errors upon email receipt.

Constellation Research recommends that readers consult a stock professional for their investment guidance. Investors should understand the potential conflicts of interest analysts might face. Constellation does not underwrite or own the securities of the companies the analysts cover. Analysts themselves sometimes own stocks in the companies they cover—either directly or indirectly, such as through employee stock-purchase pools in which they and their colleagues participate. As a general matter, investors should not rely solely on an analyst’s recommendation when deciding whether to buy, hold, or sell a stock. Instead, they should also do their own research—such as reading the prospectus for new companies or for public companies, the quarterly and annual reports filed with the SEC—to confirm whether a particular investment is appropriate for them in light of their individual financial circumstances.

Copyright © 2001 – 2021 R Wang and Insider Associates, LLC All rights reserved.

Contact the Sales team to purchase this report on a a la carte basis or join the Constellation Executive Network

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Monday's Musings: Long Term Loyalty Is Gone!

Monday's Musings: Long Term Loyalty Is Gone!

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Long Term Loyalty Is Gone 

Long-term loyalty is gone.

Your customers will trade loyalty for convenience, value, or status.

Consider Domino's. Even though they managed an A+ digital transformation in the 2010s, the company now faces a new existential threat. The enemy is no longer Pizza Hut; it's the new wave of food delivery companies like Uber Eats and DoorDash moving into its sector.

While these food delivery "aggregators" don't own their own kitchens, they do own the customer experience. They can analyze tons of customer data on food preferences and price elasticity. They then partner with "ghost kitchens"— commercial facilities that prepare meals from different cuisines (such as Chinese, Thai, Indian, and pizza) from a single physical location and different online brands.

This agility and data mean the Dominos of the world are about to get their butts kicked! Every company must constantly re-evaluate its business and monetization model and value proposition if they hope to survive.

Otherwise, it's easy to win one war but lose the next.

 

Get the latest book Everybody Wants To Rule The World

Your POV

Where do you see the future of loyalty? What are you trading loyalty for? Add your comments to the blog or reach me via email: R (at) ConstellationR (dot) com or R (at) SoftwareInsider (dot) org. Please let us know if you need help with your AI and Digital Business transformation efforts. Here’s how we can assist:

  • Developing your digital business strategy
  • Connecting with other pioneers
  • Sharing best practices
  • Vendor selection
  • Implementation partner selection
  • Providing contract negotiations and software licensing support
  • Demystifying software licensing

Reprints can be purchased through Constellation Research, Inc. To request official reprints in PDF format, please contact Sales.

Data to Decisions Marketing Transformation Matrix Commerce New C-Suite Next-Generation Customer Experience Innovation & Product-led Growth Tech Optimization Future of Work SoftwareInsider AR Leadership Chief Customer Officer Chief Marketing Officer Chief Digital Officer Chief Information Officer Chief Technology Officer Chief Data Officer Chief Analytics Officer Chief Information Security Officer Chief Executive Officer Chief Operating Officer Chief Experience Officer

Not too much identity technology, and not too little

Not too much identity technology, and not too little

The World Health Organisation (WHO) has released the first of a series of design documents concerning digital proof of COVID-19 vaccination, as the start of a process to standardize digital versions of existing paper “home-based” records and the international “certificate of vaccination or prophylaxis” aka the Yellow Card: “Interim guidance for developing a Smart Vaccination Certificate” (SVC). 

The WHO position so far can be summed up as “Not Too Much Technology; Not Too Much Identity”.

Digitizing proof of vaccination

WHO sets out a worthwhile set of reasons for wanting digital proof of vaccination.  This is a contested policy arena; there are plenty of concerns that vaccine passports would lead to discrimination in employments and travel.  The WHO emphasizes that the making of rules for the use of any SVCs remains a matter for other policy makers. 

So, bearing in mind that proof of vaccination has policy problems, this is how WHO describes the motivation for digital proof:

SVCs can enhance existing paper home-based records and the [Yellow Card] by combining the functionality of both. Additionally, SVCs can provide a way to mitigate fraud and falsification of “paper only” vaccination certificates by having a “digital twin” that can be verified and validated in a reliable and trusted manner, for health, occupational, educational, and travel purposes (as per national and international policies); without depending on an individual verifier’s subjective interpretation. Once an individual’s vaccination record is available in a digital format, additional functionality can be built to support things like automated reminders for the next dose or linkages to other immunization information systems (though these are outside the scope of this document). An SVC is intended to allow for multiple types of use without requiring an individual to hold multiple vaccination records.

Verifiability of vaccination credentials

Until WHO released its guidance, the endeavour to digitize proof of vaccination had been dominated ? almost captured ? by two movements: Self Sovereign Identity and blockchain. Dozens of press reports through 2020 positioned “Verifiable Credentials” as the key to managing vaccine rollouts and “reopening economies”. Some pundits seem to think the long-awaited killer app for digital identity has finally arrived; see e.g. “Coronavirus jumpstarts race for digital ID”.

Several digital proofs of vaccination are being piloted, most of which boast blockchain, including the Evernym IATA TravelPass and IBM’s project in New York City. One of the leading programs in this space is the COVID Credentials Initiative (CCI) formed a year ago by 60 or so companies almost all focused on blockchain. CCI’s messaging today centers on verifiable credentials and minimizes blockchain references.  Yet nevertheless, verifiable credentials are seen by most commentators and technologists as synonymous with ‘identity on blockchain’.

In my view, the technological task of digitizing proof of vaccination is straightforward. Blockchain is neither necessary not sufficient, and no new order is needed for “user-centric” identity management in healthcare (especially in the midst of a pandemic where the priority must be to deliver health services without complicating the way healthcare is managed). 

Verifiable credentials on the other hand are a very good idea indeed, in digital proof of vaccination.  Let’s unpack what is really needed here. 

In essence, any verifiable credential is an assertion about a data subject ?such as “This person had a COVID Type ABC vaccination on April 1, 2021” ? which is digitally signed by or on behalf of the party making the assertion ? such as “Nurse 12345678, ACME Central Vaccination Clinic”.  Ideally the verifiable credential contains a key pair bound to a data carrier controlled by the subject (typically a cryptographic wallet) so that each time the credential is presented, it is signed afresh by the subject’s private key, giving the receiver confidence that the presentation was made with consent of the individual. The fresh dynamic signature also conveys information about the type of wallet the credential was presented from.

Despite the excitement around the new W3C verifiable credential standard and the popular association of verifiable credentials with blockchain, we have had cryptographically verifiable credentials for many years.  The original verifiable credentials were in fact smartcards and SIM cards.

Whenever you use a Chip and PIN smartcard, the merchant terminal cryptographically verifies the digital signatures of the card-issuing bank (proving the account details are genuine) and of the cardholder (proving the transaction was created afresh on the spot, under the cardholder’s control). The same sort of thing happens when you place a mobile phone call: the SIM card digitally signs a packet of account details, proving to the network that you are a legitimate subscriber.  These attributes about end users in different systems are cryptographically verified at the edge of the networks, without ‘calling home to base’.

What has WHO decided?

WHO convened a Smart Vaccination Certificate Working Group  to publish standards for SVC security, authentication, privacy and data exchange.  The interim guidance is the first in a series of three drafts and public consultations leading to a final specification in mid 2021. The Working Group has deliberated already and closed off a number of design decisions, around medical terminology, clinical coding standards, the format of the patient vaccination record, and the technology of the SVC global trust network which will make the certificates widely available and recognizable.

In my view the WHO work has two serious and most welcome implications.  

Firstly the Working Group has expressly endorsed PKI as the technology for a new WHO trust framework for global interoperability of digitized proof of vaccination.  They drew on decades of ICAO e-passport experience and consider the issue of trust framework technology to be "closed " [Ref: line 218 of the consultation paper]. Nevertheless they appreciate that implementing PKI is a significant undertaking, reporting that several countries have called for “assistance related to the establishment of their [public health authority's] national public key infrastructure” [Ref: lines 208-214].  The role of the WHO to facilitate PKI availability and deployment is a work in progress.

Secondly, WHO has stressed that digitized vaccination proofs will not supersede the time-honoured Yellow Card: “vaccination status should still be recorded through the paper-based International Certificate for Vaccination, and Prophylaxis”.  Furthermore, identification of vaccination recipients will be undertaken under existing practices.  That is, WHO sees no need to intervene in identification practices and is not entertaining any idea of a new digital identity framework. The interim guidance spells out that it is expected that a “health worker is able to ascertain the identity of a subject of care, as per the norms and policies of the public health authority” [lines 381-382] and “the identity of the subject of care SHALL be established as per Member State processes and norms” [line 501]. Furthermore, “the SVC is not an identity” [line 382].

In a nutshell, WHO has decided that digitization of the Yellow Card will not entail too much technology (such as the new and unproven blockchain methods or exotic verifiable credentials) and neither will it entail new identity philosophies (such as Self Sovereign Identity, which has untold impact on the way patients and healthcare systems interact).

My analysis and proposal for a Digital Yellow Book

These positions set out by WHO are most welcome, given the tendency for new digital identity movements and technologies to complicate public policy.  I recently wrote a short paper on just these issues and presented it to an IEEE symposium on public interest technologies: “A digital Yellow Card for securely recording vaccinations using Community PKI certificates” (IEEE International Symposium on Technology and Society, 12-15th November 2020, Tempe Arizona).

We should digitize nothing more and nothing less than the fact that someone received their vaccine.  A verifiable credential carrying this information would include the place, date and time, the type of vaccine, and the medico who administered or witnessed the shot.  The underlying technology should be robust, mature and proven at scale ? as is PKI and public key certificates ? and available in a choice of form factors ranging from passive universally accessible 2D barcodes through to contactless electronic certificates in smart phones and medical devices.

Above all, digitizing the fact of a vaccination must be done within the existing contexts of public health administration around the world. No new patient identification protocols should be imposed on health workers.  Let us assume that they know what they are doing today when assessing patients, administering vaccines and keeping records.  There is no call for a new digital identity framework, even if “user centric” seems appealing.  The digitization effort should focus on taking vaccination events and representing them digitally faithfully, accessibly and in-context.

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Event Report: Google Cloud Industries Analyst Day

Event Report: Google Cloud Industries Analyst Day

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Google Cloud Industries Leadership

Google Cloud Has Hired A Brain Trust Of Industry Vertical Leaders

On March 31st, 2021, Google Cloud hosted an Vertical Analyst Roundtable.  Google Cloud CEO, Thomas Kurian, opened up the day with a warm introduction on the role industries will play in the growth of Google Cloud.  Lori Mitchell-Keller, VP of Industry Solutions shared how Google Cloud differentiates its approach to Industries with customers.  The key industries and the leaders for Google Cloud's Verticals include:

Customer Wins Range From Level 1 to Level 4 Digital Giant Partnerships

  • Retail - focus on immersive and frictionless customer experiences using first party data to accelerate activation, and decrease cost of business
  • CPG - know customers in a data privacy first world, deliver growth in an omni channel ecosystem, and enable a more intelligent sustainable operations
  • Health and Life Sciences - accelerate R&D and clinical insights, achieve precision decisions with ML/AI, and enable population health and value based care models
  • FSI - humanize digital experiences, modernize core technologies and drive out technical debt, adjust to a deluge of regulatory requirements, and manage risk through data
  • Communication Service Providers - create new network-enabled revenue streams, improve low touch high value experiences, evolve service provider networks, upgrade legacy technical debt and core systems, and upskill work force.
  • Media and entertainment - drive up content velocity, deliver mass personalization at scale, ad create dynamic feedback loops to improve relationships and context
  • Manufacturing - digitize customer journeys to improve experience through data, optmiize operations and sustainability, and address cultural and technology needs for digital transformation
  • Supply Chain and Logistics - deliver exceptional customer experience, drive circular economy and sustainability, achieve autonomous enterprise status
  • Public Sector - deliver compliance without compromise, provide tools to accelerate digital transformation, solve for mission needs, and apply vast public data troves for public good.

While most of the customers are focused on Level 1 and Level 2 capabilities, Google Cloud is starting to see growth in Level 3 vertical industry wins and becoming more competitive with both Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure in industry deals (see Figure 1).  Google Cloud's customer wins at Amwell, Ford, MLB, Target, Unilever, Unity, and Verizon are proof points on the extent of the partnerships with industry for data-driven digital transformation.

Figure 1. The Five Levels Of Cloud Provider Partnerships

Five Levels Of Cloud Partnership #RuleTheWorld

The Bottom Line: Build, Partner, or Perish

In my upcoming book, Everybody Wants To Rule The World, we discuss how the collapse of vertical industries along a convergence of value chains will lead to 100 companies in 50 value chains across seven major geographic trade zones by 2050.  Established organizations who survive to compete against the next set of well-funded digital giants will have to create joint venture partnerships in Level 5 in order to succeed.

Given the capital constraints of the established industry leaders, most will have to partner instead of build. Many of those partnerships will occur with the major cloud platform vendors who can provide the investment capital, the technical expertise, and the key cloud computing and technology prowess needed to win.  Digital leaders who plan for the future will have to double down on one to two cloud players across the world to build deep partnerships or invest in the capital to establish their capabilities.  Winners will build or partner. 

Your POV

Are you a digital leader driving key initiatives? Have you partnered with a cloud vendor? What level is your partnership?  Nominate your project for the 10th annual Constellation SuperNova Awards and buy the book to find out how Everybody Wants To Rule The World

Add your comments to the blog or reach me via email: R (at) ConstellationR (dot) com or R (at) SoftwareInsider (dot) org. Please let us know if you need help with your AI and Digital Business transformation efforts. Here’s how we can assist:

  • Developing your digital business strategy
  • Connecting with other pioneers
  • Sharing best practices
  • Vendor selection
  • Implementation partner selection
  • Providing contract negotiations and software licensing support
  • Demystifying software licensing

Reprints can be purchased through Constellation Research, Inc. To request official reprints in PDF format, please contact Sales.

Disclosures

Although we work closely with many mega software vendors, we want you to trust us. For the full disclosure policy, stay tuned for the full client list on the Constellation Research website. * Not responsible for any factual errors or omissions.  However, happy to correct any errors upon email receipt.

Constellation Research recommends that readers consult a stock professional for their investment guidance. Investors should understand the potential conflicts of interest analysts might face. Constellation does not underwrite or own the securities of the companies the analysts cover. Analysts themselves sometimes own stocks in the companies they cover—either directly or indirectly, such as through employee stock-purchase pools in which they and their colleagues participate. As a general matter, investors should not rely solely on an analyst’s recommendation when deciding whether to buy, hold, or sell a stock. Instead, they should also do their own research—such as reading the prospectus for new companies or for public companies, the quarterly and annual reports filed with the SEC—to confirm whether a particular investment is appropriate for them in light of their individual financial circumstances.

Copyright © 2001 – 2021 R Wang and Insider Associates, LLC All rights reserved.

Contact the Sales team to purchase this report on a a la carte basis or join the Constellation Executive Network

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Monday's Musings: The Rise of the Digital Executives

Monday's Musings: The Rise of the Digital Executives

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Digital Leaders and Their Efforts Take a Front Seat in the Post-Pandemic Era

When the pandemic impacted businesses a year ago, most brands and enterprises scrambled to accelerate digital transformation efforts. These “digital” efforts ranged from rekindling digital channel projects to doubling down on digital channels to even accelerating subscription business models. Often led by CIO’s, CMO’s, CTO’s, and Chief Digital Officers, many successfully scrambled to shift channel revenue from physical to digital while dealing the impact of remote work delivery. These accomplishments accelerated five years of digital transformation in less than one year’s time.

As organizations now shift from pandemic burning platform to the post-pandemic reality, the “light” digital projects focused on digital channels will not be enough to sustain true digital initiatives. The simple monetization models will face intense competition. The lack of a digital business model will leave organizations exposed. In fact, digital leaders will have to invest in three key areas of true digital transformation to successfully emerge into the post-pandemic era. Organizations must invest in:

  1. Digital business models. Digital leaders must think hard about how their digital strategy will co-exist in a world of traditional business models. Leaders must determine where will their mix of financial investment and human capital reside.
  2. Digital monetization. Organizations must rethink monetization efforts across ad revenue, search revenues, goods, services, memberships and subscriptions. Selection of monetization model or models will be driven by business model decisions.
  3. Digital channels. While, websites, mobile apps, and chats played a key role in enabling pandemic CX, digital leaders must determine how investment dollars will be allocated in a post-pandemic world as hybrid models will dominate the landscape. Business models and monetization models will determine level of channel investment.

The Shift From CDO's To Digitally Enabled Leaders Is Happening Now

Consequently, who leads such initiatives going forward will be hotly contested. In fact, the role of the chief digital officer must be revisited given the uneven job description and responsibilities across different industries. To be honest, what a CDO does has depended on what industry has sought to create a role. In many cases, chief digital officers have served as CTO’s, others have served as CMO’s deploying a marketing tech strategy, and CIO’s who have had digital initiatives along with keeping the lights on in traditional IT have also served as a CDO. While each of these approaches have merit, this lack of clarity and consistency on what a CDO’s role should be has created some tension and mass confusion in board rooms and among executive leadership teams.

Over the next 12 to 18 months, almost every organization will have beefed up their digital leadership. The rush to anoint a Chief Digital Officer to centrally own all digital initiatives may no longer make sense given the adoption of digital inside organizations and the accelerated digital transformation experienced by leadership. What and how a Chief Digital Officer will be defined may no longer be that important. However, what digital leaders do will play a role.

To start with, expect every role inside an organization to take on digital initiatives. For example:

  1. Chief executive officers will beef up their direct reports and design for new digital business models, assess future partnerships for joint venture approaches, and create a digital culture that supports innovation and execution.
  2. Chief marketing officers will accelerate their digital presence, project their brand’s mission and purpose across all digital channels, apply account based strategies, improve personalization and relevance, and reduce customer acquisition costs.
  3. Chief service officers will improve incident to resolution response via digital channels, identify new monetization models for service, apply IOT models to deploy remote service capabilities.
  4. Chief customer officers will use digital channels to improve community and engagement efforts to improve customer retention, satisfaction, and loyalty.
  5. Chief revenue officers will design for new revenue optimization capabilities, build out digital monetization, apply machine learning and AI to dynamic pricing, improve account based strategies, and improve revenue per customer.
  6. Chief information officers will bring their project execution expertise, improve the overall digital infrastructure and channels, design to support for digital monetization models, compete for data supremacy, and future proof architecture for new digital business models.
  7. Chief supply chain officers will use AI to capture data for demand signals, drive pricing optimization, improve S&OP efforts, create new distribution models, apply 3D printing, and reduce inventory costs.
  8. Chief human resource officers will hire for digital artisans, train and reskill for right-brain and left-brain skills, enable competency based recruiting, create digital employee experiences, and build a digital culture.
  9. Chief financial officers will apply new metrics such as active users, retention rate, customer satisfaction, customer acquisition costs, average revenue per user, profit per sale, market share growth, and reserve asset yield.

The Bottom Line: Digital Enabled CXO's Must Compete With Digital Giants

Digital giants are organizations that have built vast networks of users or devices, mastered how to disintermediate customer account control, deployed digital monetization at scale, competed for data supremacy, and developed a long term growth mind set. Notable examples include entities such as AirBnB, Alibaba, Amazon, Baidu, Coupang, Disney, DoorDash, Facebook, Gojek, Instacart, JD.com, Google, Microsoft, Netflix, Roblox, Tencent, Tesla, Uber, and Zillow in a wide variety of industries.

While Chief Digital Officers may still exist, the entire executive leadership team will grow digital skills as predicted in 2009 by Esteban Kolsky and myself.

The era of the standalone CDO driving all digital initiatives will transition to suites of leaders who have digital capabilities.

This transition to these digital leaders will prepare brands and enterprises to compete with the rise of the digital giants. A broad stable of digital leaders will prepare brands and enterprises to compete with the rise of the digital giants. 

Find out more by pre-ordering my upcoming book: Everybody Wants To Rule The World

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News Analysis: Coupang, South Korea's Digital Giant, Set For A $51 Billion+ Debut

News Analysis: Coupang, South Korea's Digital Giant, Set For A $51 Billion+ Debut

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 Coupang ?? 

Digital Giant Seeks $3.6 Billion Raise

Harvard Business School drop-out Bom Suk Kim is set for one of the biggest tech IPO's for the year.  Founded in 2010, Coupang started out as a Groupon copy-cat, focusing on daily deals and has emerged into an eCommerce digital giant. The Korean born, New Englander, studied in the US, trained at Boston Consulting Group, and founded the 02138 magazine startup all before heading back to Korea to build an Amazon like "next geneartion e-commerce model".

Bom Kim @coupang

Source: Korea Daily Times

So far, the market has had a healthy reception to the listings of emerging digital giants, with AirBnB and DoorDash completing highly successful debuts.  Coupang has emerged as a pandemic and post-pandemic winner by nearly doubling its revenues to $12 billion in 2020.  As with all digital giants, the entity has an accumulated deficit of $4.12 billion as of December 2020.  Should the expected March 10th listing be successful, Korea's e-commerce darling will have a $51 billion valuation (based on $28.50 per share pricing) and emerge as one of the top 5 companies by market cap in South Korea.  The US listing will benefit Coupang with dual class voting structures, a key to a long-term mindset and one of the five tenets of building a Digital Giant. 

The Seoul headquartered company has six global offices in Beijing, Los Angeles, Seattle, Shanghai, Shenzehn, and Silicon Valley.  At the heart of Coupang is an online marketplace for merchants like Shopify, a shopping portal for consumers like Amazon, and a supply chain logistics distribution network like JD.com.  Coupang has 15,00 drivers with the largest last-mile logistics fleet in South Korea, and 100 fulfillment and logistics centers in over 30 cities. Almost 70 percent of the country lives within 6 miles of a Coupang delivery center.

Coupang has followed the digital giant model of investing for the long term with massive technology investments in machine learning and AI to deliver on personalization at scale, inventory procurement, risk management, last mile logistics, and pricing optimization.

Key investors include Softbank Vision Fund (SVF) with a 39.4 percent stake, Greenoaks Capital Partners with a 19.8 percent stake, Maverick Holdings with a 7.7 percent stake, Rosa Park Advisors with a 6 percent stake, and Black Rock with a 3.7 percent stake.  Revenue per active customer has risen from $161 in Q4 2019 to $256 in Q4 2020.  Coupang has grown active user from 9.16 million in 2018 to 11.79 million in 2019.  In 2020, Coupang reached 14.85 million active customers. Goldman Sachs, Allen & Company, JP Morgan Securities, and Citigroup Global Markets are among the nine underwriters for this IPO.

COUPANG - BUY $80

Investment relationship - NO
Individual owned - NO
Family owned- NO
Company owned - NO

The Bottom Line: This Digital Giant Dominates The Korean Market

Constellation estimates South Korea's e-commerce market to grow to $250 billion by 2026 from $129 billion in 2019.  With just a little more than one-third penetration of the 43 million South Koreans above the age of 15, Coupang has built a sizable network.  As with all Digital Giants (Get my latest book Everybody Wants To Rule The World to find out more), the business model and monetization models can expand with the investment in a a 100 year platform and strategic expansion into new offerings.  Following the lead of Asian Digital Giants (i,e. Alibaba, Baidu, JD.com, and Tencent),  expect Coupang to build on its expansion into:

  • Financial services - Coupang Pay.
  • Food delivery - Rocket Fresh

Coupang has a shot to move beyond the confines of Korea as it will need to grow its network.  Expect the IPO proceeds to be used for expansion as this emerging Digital Giant enters its next phase of growth.

Innovation & Product-led Growth Leadership Chief Experience Officer

A Case Study in Radical Empathy: The Leadership of Zoho CEO Sridhar Vembu

A Case Study in Radical Empathy: The Leadership of Zoho CEO Sridhar Vembu

What does it mean to lead? This was a central question as Constellation Research analysts gathered (virtually) to vote for chief executive officer (CEO) of the year for our annual Enterprise Awards. The nominees all steered their businesses through periods of massive upheaval and opportunity. Each one was tested beyond the traditional ups and downs of an average year. As Constellation considered each nomination, with all attributes listed and ranked, time and again the conversation came back to qualities of leadership that are often hard to quantify—elements such as empathy.

Empathy is defined as the ability to understand and share in the feelings of another. Radical empathy is the act of pushing oneself beyond understanding. It asks people to step outside their comfort zone of emotional spectatorship to feel so intensely and acutely that they are forced into action to improve the state of another person. It could be argued that 2020 pushed CEO empathy to new heights as leaders were compelled to better understand the impact of everything from a global pandemic to calls to address systemic racism and equality.

In 2020, empathy felt easy to spot. Spotting radical empathy was far more difficult.

Enter Sridhar Vembu, CEO and co-founder of Zoho, who has joined the likes of Apple’s Tim Cook and Microsoft’s Satya Nadella as leaders actively investing in radical empathy. Vembu approaches leadership and business with a vision that, much like the company he founded, has helped him to purposefully achieve success in his own unique way and in his own time.

Doing Things the “Zoho Way”

Zoho is far from being a “traditional” technology company. In fact, Vembu likely would correct anyone daring to lump Zoho into a traditional mold. Zoho is a “development company,” to quote Vembu, developing technology while developing relationships with customers and communities alike. Unlike with the fast-moving venture-capital-backed technology unicorns of Silicon Valley, the growth of Zoho has been a slow burn, taking its own time in its own way without sacrificing what Vembu openly calls his and the company’s freedom.

“I’m running this company, but not running it in a traditional way,” mused Vembu in a recent conversation. “That would not be possible. Instead, I focus on creating the philosophical and cultural glue that holds the company together so people can make their own decisions. It is not the traditional way, but it is the Zoho way.”

This ethos permeates across the organization from Chennai to California. Vembu doesn’t chase the spotlight for personal gain or glory, instead using his carefully crafted pulpit to advocate for issues he sees as core to the human experience—which, in turn, has an impact on Zoho’s ability to develop the products that power Zoho customers’ businesses. As Zoho’s chief “cultural glue” engineer, Vembu has set the foundation and developed a cadre of smart, capable leaders who take his lead and “pay it forward” to empower, train, and motivate legions of employees, partners, and customers, all motivated to innovate and iterate at and with Zoho. His actions and activism aren’t random acts of kindness, but opportunities to strategically challenge the status quo.

Lessons From Leading the “Vembu Way”

This idea of a “Zoho way” is as much a reflection of Vembu as it is a reflection of the decades-long work that has gone into building a technology brand that now employs more than 9,000 people around the world. For Zoho, every decision feels like an opportunity to rethink and challenge the system, to chart a new path branded with Zoho’s unique culture and perspective. But make no mistake, that is not accidental.

In the same way that Zoho has developed its own way, so has its CEO. The two paths are intertwined, with one way inspiring and shaping the other, but they are not identical. Whereas Zoho operates as a nontraditional global enterprise, Vembu leads as a nontraditional leader—the “Vembu way.” His leadership and reliance on radical empathy sheds light on some key best practices that sit at the core of his role as CEO.

Live How You Lead

The first time I heard Vembu’s vision for Zoho was in early 2020, before the pandemic had taken hold of daily life. Vembu described what a day in the life of the Zoho CEO included, beginning with a bike ride to the office, down the rows of farms and fields in Mathalamparai, a village with an estimated population of around 2,500. He shared how he was living proof of his “rural revival” strategy, talking to a room full of sometimes-jaded industry analysts about how topsoil, heirloom potatoes, and the plight of the rural farmer were analogous to the challenges of modern business.

This vision of a rural revival wasn’t intended just for his own life but rather as a corporate vision for all of Zoho that would include a massive shift of the company’s U.S.-based headquarters from the clogged, costly, and congested Pleasanton, California, area to Austin, Texas. In the costly trappings of Silicon Valley, people were choosing to put off life milestones. Vembu, instead, believes it is the responsibility of a company to ensure that its people never have to postpone those life events. “For our employees, not being able to afford to buy a home was a tax on their well-being that in turn becomes a tax on the company. Companies should assist you in being able to live life to the fullest, being able to do the things you want to do,” he told me. Because of this, moving to Austin made perfect sense. But in the early days of the decision, some questioned his leadership in moving away from the resources of Silicon Valley.

Vembu shifted Zoho’s U.S. center of gravity to an Austin farm in early 2020, months before big corporate names would announce “revolutionary,” “bold,” and even “transformative” moves to Texas in what would be called a Bay Area exodus. Vembu’s leadership is more about feeling and absorbing than about rash reactions to trends. This has empowered the entire organization to be ahead of curves—even curveballs—that life has thrown, focused on establishing a culture that empowers each employee to get the most out of life. It has also given Zoho permission to grow by removing the limitations of proximity to headquarters. As a result, customers, from small local businesses to large, globally distributed enterprises, benefit from the proximity of local teams that understand the unique needs of local businesses and a distributed network of partners all connected to the central culture and infrastructure of Zoho.

Be Present

For Vembu, the concept of presence isn’t a matter of being in a room when the big speeches are made or big moments unveiled. It is more about being in the room when the hardest decisions are being made and remaining in the moment to be open and willing to answer the questions about why a decision was made. “The hard decisions are still hard,” reflected Vembu. “I do plead guilty to postponing hard decisions or pretending that if I just ignore them, they will go away. But I do have to make those decisions.”

In the face of what others might consider uncomfortable—looking a team in the eyes and explaining tough decisions—Vembu chooses to be present, refusing to delegate the work of breaking news after decisions and instead using the moment to speak with people in what he calls “his own voice” to eliminate a pattern of rationalization and corporate jargon.

For great leaders, being present isn’t just about listening without distraction or a momentary exercise in mindfulness. It is about being ready to be on the receiving end of all good or bad news, to be an equally active participant in the celebration and in the problem-solving. Being present is not about control; in fact, it is the opposite. “I don’t want to be in that command-and-control mindset all the time, because it destroys my own personal freedom,” noted Vembu. “Whenever decisions weigh on you, you start to measure success by how long the line is outside your door. Real power is not being trapped by a power structure that you have built yourself.”

Solutions Are Rerouted Problems

Vembu is many things—brother, father, CEO, teacher—but at his core he is still an electrical engineer, looking for creative solutions to problems as opposed to using brute force with no imagination. No matter the situation, Vembu is on a perpetual investigation to reach a better state. Take, for example, his realization that talent was a resource in increasingly short supply. Instead of jumping into the wage wars of Silicon Valley, where lofty college degrees are the cost of entry to high-earning development positions, Vembu and Zoho implemented a program to hire bright, skilled, and eager talent without college degrees.

Zoho Schools, started as Zoho University, is a classic case of reverse engineering a problem and then rerouting circuits to achieve a brighter output. “If you don’t set out to create talent, there will always be a talent shortage,” Vembu said. “We have an issue where companies fail to invest in people. They fail to invest in employees, giving employees an opportunity to succeed and an opportunity to earn gratitude. This same lacking was at the core of our reason for launching Zoho University, investing in our future talent. It is also the conviction that is now [driving] Zoho Schools. I would come to this village and notice that these rural students have had similar issues of nobody investing in them.”

By the numbers, the investment is working: An estimated 15 to 20% of Zoho’s workforce are graduates of the Schools initiative. The program is also expanding the Zoho business ecosystem, with an estimated 60 startups growing from the minds of the program’s graduates. This new vision of education reworks the circuitry of a broken system in which policies made in major metropolitan areas often translate to and apply in rural or remote locations—often with negative or unintended consequences. Vembu is so committed to this idea that he has taken on the role of part-time teacher in his new “experiment” of extending the evolution of education to younger-aged students who are being neglected in underresourced and underserved communities. By empowering the youngest of learners, Vembu is empowering and unearthing talent that could represent new stables of talent entering the Zoho ecosystem.

CEO of the Year

The challenge with honoring a CEO like Sridhar Vembu is giving people an idea that his style, the Vembu way, can be easily replicated. Whereas all leaders can and should aspire to be more empathetic, intentionally choosing to understand their organization’s customers, employees, and partners, not every leader is cut out for a life of radical empathy. Such a life will constantly pit the easy path to profitability against the commitments to elevate the needs of community and total strangers in far-flung rural outposts.

Yet throughout the chaos of 2020, Sridhar Vembu proved that radical empathy can be profitable and productive. Some might scoff at the speed of Zoho’s growth: It took its time to grow from 1 million users in 2008 to 30 million users in 2018. But we see a different trajectory—one in which the Zoho way, powered by Vembu’s radical empathy, catapulted growth, doubling users to over the 60 million mark in 2020. Users, it is worth noting, who are filled with the very gratitude and commitment Vembu has fostered across employees and students.

Vembu’s special blend of “cultural glue” has translated into tangible benefits for Zoho’s customers. Small Zoho teams innovating and collaborating deliver product updates and improvements constantly, feeling invested in their customers’ success. Small businesses receive the focus, care, and attention that massive brands would receive at massive competitors. Enterprise customers have a dedicated team well versed in the challenges and complexity of large-scale deployments and operations. Partners are treated as if their businesses were extensions of Zoho, not separate entities fighting through business challenges on their own. Being a Zoho customer means being understood, deeply and earnestly, by the individual at the top of Zoho’s org chart.

Growth, much like radical empathy, isn’t an accident. And it isn’t easy. But for Vembu, and Zoho, radical empathy is the only path conscionable. “When you go through real suffering, your life is not normal. There is a wisdom that comes from that suffering, knowing that I may not be able to do anything about my suffering, but maybe I can help other people, be they my employees, or people in the villages, in the outside world,” Vembu said. “If that is the indirect benefit from my suffering, that’s all right. It is creating good karma. And perhaps that is actually my leadership style at the end.”

New C-Suite Chief Executive Officer

New Release: Week Two Q1 2021 Constellation ShortList™ Portfolio Updates

New Release: Week Two Q1 2021 Constellation ShortList™ Portfolio Updates

Today, we launched the final set of updates to our Constellation ShortList™ portfolio, including 22 new and updated lists.

Each technology vendor on this list has been chosen based on their products and services offering. Our analysts consider technology investment, use cases, strategic vision, customer value, executive leadership and price when anointing a vendor to the ShortList™.

Check out the 22 new and updated lists:

This program is part of our open research library. You can download and view each list and the criteria for free. If you missed last week’s updates, be sure to check them out here.  To engage us in a rapid vendor selection process, please contact [email protected]

We will update the rest of the portfolio in Q3 2021. Some lists may get updated twice a year depending on market changes and based on each analyst’s discretion for each area. If you see a list that wasn’t updated this quarter, it will be updated later this year.

For more information, visit https://www.constellationr.com/shortlist

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