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Disruptive technology project? Submit it to SuperNova Awards

Constellation Research's deadline for SuperNova Awards submissions is approaching. You can apply here.

As a refresher, the SuperNova Awards are designed to highlight organizations, teams and individuals that have implemented disruptive and transformative projects.

For a hint of what we're looking for check out the 2022 Supernova Awards winners. My favorite: Dussmann, which created its own low-code HCM application that automated employee self-services. The project was paid for after 36 months just based on postage savings.

Other winning projects from 2022 were Stanford Medicine, which automated supply chain and procurement processes, and GE Aviation, which modernized and consolidated more than 300 IT applications and ERP platforms.

Finalists will be invited to attend Constellation's Connected Enterprise (CCE) in Half Moon Bay, Calif. with registration covered by Constellation Research.

Here's what we're looking for:

  • Case studies of projects that made a difference.
  • Real ROI metrics.
  • Impact on business and competitive advantage.

The categories include:

  • AI and augmented humanity.
  • Data to decisions, which recognizes innovative data and analytics projects.
  • Digital safety, governance and privacy.
  • ESG and sustainability.
  • Future of work and employee experience.
  • Future of work and human capital management.
  • Next-generation customer experience.
  • Tech optimization and modernization.
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Infosys, Wipro, TCS customers pull back, prioritize projects

Indian services giants are optimistic about new technologies such as generative AI but are seeing clients pull back on discretionary projects as they aim for fast returns.

Here's a look. 

Infosys cuts outlook for fiscal year

Infosys cut its fiscal 2024 outlook and now expects growth of 1% to 3.5% compared to the 4% to 7% outlined in April.

For the first quarter, Infosys reported revenue of $4.62 billion with net profit of $724 million.

Salil Parekh, CEO of Infosys, said some clients have slowed their transformation plans and discretionary work. Financials services, telecom and parts of retail were holding back on plans.

Infosys signed large deals in the first quarter valued at $2.3 billion and 56% of those deals were new. Half of the large deals were from financial services companies.

Parekh said:

"We are delighted that Topaz, our AI and generative AI platform is resonating well with our clients. We are working on 80 generative AI projects for our clients at this time. The work we are doing encompasses large language models for software development, text, document, voice and video. Internally, we have developed generative AI tools using an open-source model for software development. We are working with open source and proprietary generative AI platforms and models.

We see this area of generative AI and Topaz being really transformative for our clients. As we look ahead with our large and mega deal successes and our strengthen in cost efficiency, automation and consolidation we feel confident."

Infosys also said its deal pipeline was strongest in engineering, IoT, supply chain, cloud, ERP and digital.

Wipro: Clients reduce discretionary spend

Wipro reported fiscal first quarter revenue of $2.8 billion, up 6% from a year ago, with net income of $349.8 million.

The company projected second quarter revenue to a decline of 2% to a gain of 1% sequentially.

CEO Thierry Delaporte said clients did gradually cut discretionary spending. He said:

"All around us in almost every industry, we see businesses that have been reducing discretionary spend in response to the weaker macro environment. That's had an impact on our revenues as well."

Wipro in the quarter managed to keep operating margins steady at 16%, 112 basis points better than a year ago. Wipro has improved productivity and managed fixed costs.

Delaporte said:

"We are using generative AI for multiple use cases like enterprise knowledge mining, virtual assistance, content creation, automation software, development life cycle and for synthetic data generation."

Wipro also launched Wipro ai360 to accelerate its AI offerings.

TCS: Clients prioritizing faster ROI

Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) in the first quarter delivered revenue of $7.23 billion, up 6.6% from a year ago, with net income of $1.35 billion.

TCS saw strength in life sciences in healthcare, which was up 10.1% from a year ago, manufacturing, up 9.4%, retail and CPG, up 5.3%, and technology and services, up 4.4%.

According to TCS, customers are prioritizing business critical projects and those with faster returns. Cost optimization, vendor consolidation and integrated operations were key priorities for TCS customers.

Generative AI, digital transformation and co-innovation projects were demand drivers for the future.

At TCS' Innovation Forum in New York in June, executives also homed in on the process of innovation and its design thinking frameworks. TCS walked through its Pace system, which brings together TCS foundational research, clients, innovation frameworks and partnerships with academia, VCs and startups. What stood out to me was the idea that innovation has to be actionable and ultimately scale.

TCS CTO Ananth Krishnan said the company is using the Pace framework and its Pace Port locations to create a "go-to place for breakthrough ideas and do something about it."

In today's economy, the emphasis is on doing something with innovation. Krishnan added that TCS has collaborated with clients on quantum computing, generative AI and sustainability use cases to transform businesses. While CXOs are more interested than ever in new technologies and innovation, they're more excited about making those advances actionable. After all, these companies have to execute.

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TSMC's Q2: 6 takeaways to know

TSMC's second quarter revenue fell 10% as the company navigated customer inventory corrections, but the semiconductor maker was optimistic about AI-related demand.

Here's a look at the key takeaways from TSMC's earnings report.

  • TSMC has seen an increase in AI-related demand for semiconductors, but it wasn't enough to offset weakness elsewhere. TSMC CEO Dr. CC Wei said the third quarter will see strength in its 3-nanometer technologies offset by inventory adjustments.
  • Economic concerns in China and customers rebalancing inventory will be a headwind into the fourth quarter. TSMC's forecast for 2023 revenue calls for a decline of 10%.
  • High performance computing and 5G is driving semiconductor demand in the long run. "Our revenue remains well on track to grow between 15% and 20% CAGR over the next several years in U.S. dollar terms," said Wei.
  • 6% of total revenue for TSMC is related to AI processor demand. "We forecast this to grow at close to 50% CAGR in the next 5 years and increase to low teens percent of our revenue," said Wei.
  • HPC is going to drive TSMC's long-term growth. "While the quantification of the total addressable opportunity is still ongoing, generative AI and large language model only reinforce the already strong conviction we have in the structural mega trend to drive TSMC's long-term growth, and we will closely monitor the development for further potential upside," said Wei.
  • TSMC's Arizona fab will be delayed. The fab started construction in Arizona in April 2021 with an aggressive schedule. TSMC said it is now installing its most advanced equipment but doesn't have the skilled workers and local expertise to install equipment.

TSMC Chairman Mark Liu said:

"While we are working on improving the situation, including sending experienced technicians from Taiwan to train the local skill workers for a short period of time. We expect the production schedule of N4 process technology to be pushed out to 2025."

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IBM Q2 sees software, AI gains and infrastructure weakness

IBM's second quarter was a mixed bag with software, Red Hat, data and AI and consulting growth but headwinds as hardware sales stumbled as IBM z Systems revenue fell 30%.

The company reported second quarter net income of $1.6 billion, or $1.72 a share, on revenue of $15.5 billion. Non-GAAP earnings for the second quarter were $2.18 a share.

Wall Street was looking for second quarter earnings of $2.01 a share on revenue of $15.58 billion.

IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said the company was confident with its annual outlook and that it saw strength in hybrid cloud and AI technologies.

For 2023, IBM is projecting revenue growth of 3% to 5% with free cash flow of about $10.5 billion. 

By the numbers:

  • Software revenue in the second quarter was $6.6 billion, up 7.2% from a year ago. Red Hat revenue was up 11%, data and AI sales were up 10% with security and automation falling slightly.
  • Consulting revenue was $5 billion, up 4.3%.
  • Infrastructure revenue was $3.6 billion, down 14.6%. Hybrid infrastructure fell 18% from a year ago and IBM z Systems sales fell 30%.

On a conference call with analysts, Krishna said:

  • "AI will infuse in models every single product we have, whether it's sustainability, whether it's our database products, whether it's our consulting projects, whether it's inside the mainframe of the Telum.
  • "Businesses around the world are excited about tapping foundation models and machine learning in one place, with their own data to accelerate generative AI workloads. For example, Samsung is exploring generative AI to deliver unprecedented innovation for clients. Citi is pursuing the potential use of large language models for connecting controls to internal processes. NatWest is embedding watsonx into its chatbot to improve customer experience and SAP is integrating IBM Watson AI into their solutions."
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Bank of America: Why 'digital superiority' matters

Bank of America's second quarter was strong, the banking giant captured deposits and the company saw good operating leverage. Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan said digital superiority is a big reason.

Speaking on the company's second quarter earnings conference call, Moynihan said:

"Digital superiority is key to our operating dynamics. First, it produces a great customer experience resulting in strong customer retention and strong customer scores. Second, it ensures our position as a lead transactional bank for our customers, whether they are consumers, companies, or investors. Third, it preserves a strong deposit balance. And last, but importantly not least, efficiency."

Research: Connecting Experiences From Employees to Customers

Moynihan outlined the following metrics:

  • 46 million active consumer users digitally engaged and logged on 1 billion times a month.
  • Interactions with Erica, the bank's natural language processing and AI bot, has now had more than 1.5 billion client interactions in its first five years. Erica interactions rose 35% in the past year.
  • Zelle usage has grown 19% over the past year.
  • Erica and Zelle have generated 20,000 digital leads for 7,000 advisors.

Bank of America also saw digital engagement gains in global wealth and investment management and global banking.

Alastair Borthwick, CFO at Bank of America, said digital superiority also means operating leverage and efficiency gains.

Borthwick said:

"You should expect us to continue to engineer by applying massive amounts of technology. Erica saves a lot of transactional activity, Zelle saves a lot of transactional activity deposits by mobile phone saves a lot of activity."

Those digital efforts save money and drive revenue.

Moynihan said digital prowess has enabled Bank of America to keep headcount flat to down and invest those savings back into developers.

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Microsoft officially enters process mining, automation ring with Power Automate Process Mining

Microsoft is officially entering the process mining and process automation ring with Power Automate Process Mining availability August 1.

Power Automate Process Mining general availability was announced at Microsoft's Inspire conference in Las Vegas. Microsoft beefed up its process mining and task mining capabilities with the acquisition of Minit in March 2022.

Microsoft Inspire: Microsoft 365 Copilot pricing, process mining, Meta and Epic partnerships

With process mining integration with Power Automate, Microsoft is looking to leverage its installed base of its Power platform to automate processes. Power Automate Process Mining has been in public preview since November 2022.

As previously detailed, the process automation platform scrum is going to be intense. In addition to process mining giant Celonis, UIPath, SAP and others are positioning to be automation platforms from different directions. The goal of these vendors is clear: Find process improvements with data from systems of record such as SAP, fix them and then automate them so businesses can continually improve.

Microsoft's Power Automate Process Mining includes the following:

  • Templates to leverage corporate data, systems of record and flows from Azure, Power Automate, Power Apps and Power Virtual Agents and Azure to visualize processes as they actually happen.
  • Tools for root cause analysis, drilldowns and recommended KPIs to identify inefficiencies and automation possibilities.
  • Process templates for horizontal processes such as order-to-cash, peer-to-peer pay and supply chain.
  • Low code automation tools to optimize processes across the Power Platform.
  • Notifications in Microsoft Teams and Outlook when KPIs are at risk or not met.
  • Ongoing monitoring of processes with the ability to create new goals and continually improve.

With the rollout of Power Automate Process Mining, Microsoft revamped its licensing for the Power Platform.

Along with the Aug. 1 general availability, Microsoft is adding a Power Automate Premium option for $15 per user per month. The license will provide unlimited cloud flows, digital process automation, robotic process automation and Power Automate Process Mining. Power Automate Premium replaces Power Automate Attended RPA per user.

In addition, Microsoft is adding a Power Automate Process license with access to an automation bot that can be used for unattended RPA or cloud-flow process that can be accessed by unlimited users at a company.

Power Automation Process Mining can also be available as an add-on for additional capacity at $5,000 per tenant per month with 100 GB Process Mining data storage.

For enterprises, the big question is whether process mining and automation is a separate category or something that is seen as an integration within a broader platform. Like analytics, there's a point where embedded features become good enough as part of a broader platform purchase.

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Microsoft Inspire: Microsoft 365 Copilot pricing, process mining, Meta and Epic partnerships

Microsoft 365 Copilot will run you $30 per user per month for Microsoft 365 E3, E5, Business Standard and Business Premium customers.

The news, announced at Microsoft Inspire in Las Vegas, fleshes out the price tag for generative AI capabilities embedded into Microsoft's portfolio. Microsoft said Microsoft 365 Copilot will be embedded throughout Microsoft’s portfolio including Word, Excel and PowerPoint and inherits existing Microsoft 365 security, privacy, identity and compliance policies. Data will be isolated.

Microsoft has 600 enterprise customers in the Microsoft 365 Copilot paid Early Access Program. Enterprises have been cutting licensing costs and it'll be interesting to see whether CXOs give Microsoft 365 Copilot to every employee with access to Office or pick and choose roles. It also remains to be seen how enterprises pick and choose vendors for generative AI. 

Constellation Research analyst Holger Mueller said:

"Microsoft keeps rolling out generative AI capabilities across it is products and now it's the turn of the enterprise offerings, as part of the Office franchise. To have an AI powered assistant can be very helpful to the knowledge worker and positively changes the future of work. And we finally have a price tag for or the service at $30 per month. That is not much for an assistant that delivers productivity gains, when it delivers 2-3 hours of time savings a month. The interesting aspect: This is going to be more than the office license after 3-5 months. This plan shows both the commoditization of Office, how expensive generative AI is and how important it is for revenue growth at Microsoft."

Inspire is Microsoft's partner conference. Here's a rundown of what was announced.

  • Microsoft rolled out Bing Chat Enterprise, which aims to keep enterprise data segmented while providing generative AI insights via Web data with citations to workers. Bing Chat Enterprise is in preview and included at no cost for Microsoft 365 E3, E5, Business Standard and Business Premium. in the future, Bing Chat Enterprise will be $5 per user per month.
  • The software giant added Visual Search in Chat to Bing Chat using OpenAI's GPT-4 model. Users can upload images and search the web for related content.
  • Microsoft Sales Copilot gets new features within Dynamics 365 Sales. Features include opportunity summaries, email drafts and meeting prep.
  • Power Automate Process Mining is now generally available with low-code tools, process mining, automation suggestions and task mining within the platform.
  • Meta and Microsoft forged a partnership that will support the Llama family of large language models on Azure and Windows. Microsoft will be Meta's preferred partner when Llama 2 is released to commercial customers.
  • Azure OpenAI Service adoption has been expanded to 4,500 customers with more availability in North America and Western Europe. The service is also available in Asia now.
  • Microsoft and healthcare software giant Epic have expanded their partnership. Epic has integrated Azure OpenAI Service into its electronic health record platform. Microsoft will also embed its clinical documentation tools via Nuance into Epic. Epic customers are also using Azure Large Instances. The Microsoft and Epic partnership is notable given Oracle's healthcare expansion plans via the Cerner acquisition.
  • And finally, Microsoft launched its Microsoft AI Cloud Partner Program, which includes incentives and co-selling opportunities as well as training content.

The list of companies leveraging generative AI is expanding:

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Splunk launches Splunk AI Assistant, combines generative AI with observability data

Splunk launched Splunk AI Assistant, which will use generative AI and a domain specific large language model (LLM) built on its security and observability data.

The generative AI effort is part of Splunk AI, a portfolio of AI offerings announced at Splunk's .conf23 conference in Las Vegas.

According to Splunk, its AI Assistant will provide chat experiences to help users leverage Splunk Processing Language using natural language. Customers can use Splunk AI Assistant to write or explain custom queries. The big theme is that Splunk is looking to make its data more accessible to enterprises.

Constellation Research analyst Andy Thurai said:

"Splunk AI optimizes domain-specific large language models and machine learning algorithms specifically built on security and observability data. This means rather than having generic LLM models, their offering will have a domain specific knowledge trained on their data set. Splunk is helping customers train their own LLMs on their domain specific data, which can be powerful in unearthing tribal knowledge that is hidden in many corners of the enterprise.

Splunk AI Assistant and Splunk Processing Language (SPL) can be a good tool to help support personnel, SREs, SecOps folks and even DevOps teams, to find information faster for incident management whether it is security or service incidents."

While Splunk AI Assistant, which is in preview, was the headliner the company Splunk AI portfolio is aiming to free up various operations and engineering teams to do more strategic work and be more productive. Splunk said its AI efforts will be open and extend into its AI models as well as third party and proprietary tools.

Other Splunk AI and machine learning announcements include:

  • Splunk App for Anomaly Detection provides AIOps related teams to automate anomaly detection and streamline operation workflows.
  • IT Service Intelligence 4.17 improves detection accuracy with Outlier Exclusion for Adaptive Thresholding, which detects and omits outliers to provide more precise insights. ML Assisted Thresholding will use historical data and patterns to provide more accurate alerting with one click.
  • Splunk Machine Learning Toolkit 5.4 offers guided access to machines learning technology. Security and IT operations teams can garner machine learning insights and bring external models into Splunk.
  • Splunk App for Data Science and Deep Learning 5.1 will extend the Machine Learning Toolkit to bring together data science, machine learning and deep learning systems.
  • The Splunk Threat Research Team has added 6 machine learning detections to Splunk Enterprise Security to keep up with new threats and attacks.

More:

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CXOs more optimistic, eye growth, optimization, automation, ChatGPT pilots

Don't look now, but CXOs are becoming more optimistic, favoring revenue growth opportunities and planning technology pilots that will optimize and automate processes to partly pay for innovation.

That's the high-level take on the Constellation Research 2023 H1 "CxO Business Confidence Survey," which included 52 respondents primarily in the US and Europe. Of that sample, 86% had direct influence over technology purchasing.

Simply put, CXOs are expecting a better business climate in 2023. Fifty eight percent of respondents said they expected a better business climate in 2023. In the fourth quarter 2022 survey, 67% of respondents predicted a worse business climate for 2023.

The themes in the Constellation Research 2023 H1 "CxO Business Confidence Survey" revolve around leveraging technologies such as generative AI, analytics and automation to solve for revenue growth, profit growth via efficiency and labor constraints. From the report:

“Constellation predicts that enterprises that neglect to build a generative AI strategy will progressively fall behind. Early adopters have an opportunity to deliver on exponential growth across revenue operations, customer and employee experiences, and enterprise growth.”

Here's a look at a few of the findings from the report and my take:

The top 3 most important business issues facing CXOs is labor availability, operational challenges, and innovation. Worries about inflation, interest rates and consumer demand have receded along with recession fears. My take: Labor availability is a pain point that my also dovetail with interest in generative AI.

32% of the IT budget is going to investments that add to top-line growth and 28% is going to efficiency. My take: That balance makes a lot of sense given one can fund the other. Large enterprises can continually optimize processes at scale and fund innovation efforts.

57% of respondents plant to initiate a proof of concept this year for ChatGPT. Analytics and cloud remain top of mind for nearly half of CXOs. My take: Pilots for generative AI will abound as corporate FOMO kicks in and vendors roll out integrations. Stay tuned for the all-too-predictable generative AI disillusionment. Generative AI will be swell for companies with strong data strategies. The rest will gripe that generative AI wasn't a magic elixir.

22% of CXOs say they will initiate a proof of concept for metaverse in 2023. My take: That's a big percentage considering that metaverse has largely been a punchline for a year. Maybe it's not so mehtaverse after all.

The go-to vendors for CXOs are Microsoft, AWS, Salesforce, Google Cloud and Adobe. My take: Microsoft was cited as a top-of-mind software vendor by 69% of respondents. The big get bigger. More interesting is that "other" was cited by 25% of respondents, tied with Workday. The fact that "other" beat Apple, SAP, Cisco and Oracle tell me that not all CXOs are on the vendor consolidation bandwagon.

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How to think about generative AI, use cases, regulation, ethics and resilience

A Constellation Research DisrupTV panel riffed on generative AI use cases, regulation, ethics and how technology can build resilience.

Here are some of the big themes that emerged from the DisrupTV discussion:

  • Dr. Anthony Scriffignano, Global award-winning Chief Data Scientist
  • Sharron McPherson, CEO of The Green Jobs Machine, Adjunct Senior Lecturer at the University of Cape Town Graduate School of Business, and Faculty at Singularity University
  • Natalie Barrett, Senior Fellow at Atlantic Council

Regulation. Barrett said her biggest concern is that legislation hasn't caught up with AI and will be perpetually behind if "something happens where you'd want someone to be accountable."

McPherson agreed: "AI and other kinds of technologies can influence global thinking with ideas. Power is shifting from government to companies and from companies to people. AI is shifting power in our society, and I think about voice and agency. We're going to have lots of changes in policy around AI because of the concerns people are starting to have. It's too early to imagine what the impact might be or whether it's not enough. We are not jumping in early enough with the right policies. How am I as a legislator going to legislate something that doesn't have transparency."

Scriffignano added that regulation can prevent bad things from happen as well as the good. "The challenge put on these regulators is that innovation is always going to outpace regulation," he explained.

AI is a tool, but... McPherson noted that AI is a tool that can be used for both good and bad.

Scriffignano said there's a risk that large language models are ingesting everything that's being said and create misinformation and disinformation.

"It's very easy to confuse them (LLMs)," he said. "When we say generative AI what we mean is it is outputting or summarizing what is read or consumed, but that can also be digital hearsay from sources that are no invisible to us. We invented a new hammer so let's be careful about how we use that hammer."

On the positive side, Scriffignano said generative AI can summarize data and text well. "There's no way you could read everything that's being published in any field of medicine right now so AI can give me a summary of what's being said so I can be a physician and not a researcher," he said.

Scriffignano added that AI can also be used to track behavior and ultimately prevent bad things from happening.

Resilience technology. McPherson said she spends a lot of time thinking about using technologies like AI to shift capital into places that need it, notably marginalized communities at the intersection of climate and technology.

"How do you leverage technologies like Earth observation technologies to get data and build resilience technologies," said McPherson. "We have been in stealth mode trying to build an index that measures the resilience and vulnerability of a place or physical asset and provide recommendations that are actionable to save lives and livelihoods."

McPherson said her group has focused on digging deep into how we use data and AI to "begin to solve for climate resilience." "We are going to have millions of people leaving their homes and migrate (due to climate)," she said. "Think about the implications for our global economy and everything you care about. There's no silver bullet to this, but it really is about matching and making sure that we understand what resilience is and you need data for that."

Defining AI use cases. Barrett said there are multiple AI use cases to ponder including medical assessments, or a "doctor in a box" that can be sent to disadvantaged areas.

She said:

"We have validated data sets where we do have protocols and processes that we need to use whether it's for financial market, climate security, medical treatment and personalized medicine."

Human intelligence vs. artificial intelligence. Barnett said that human intelligence (HI) will be more valuable than AI due to authenticity.

Barnett said:

"An artist or someone who writes a poem for some reason leaves a part of the soul, but we just get a photocopy of that poem (with AI). No matter what HI will always be more valuable. AI should augment a human to be valuable."

Responsible AI. Barnett said equity in AI in the US should focus on the equality of the data used as well as the quality of results. "AI if used properly can be a democratic tool that pulls the power back to the people but only if used in the right use cases," she said. "It also has to be traceable, which means I need to know where the data came from and what the algorithm did. I need to be able to test it in some way and it has to be governable."

Scriffignano said that transparency in AI is easier said than done.

"We can't necessarily explain why we reach certain decisions as humans. We can think after the fact or rationalize how we made a decision, but the reality is a lot more complicated than we think. We're constantly simplifying the world around us."

Scriffignano ran through multiple ethical quandaries with algorithms including privacy when using data for commercial purposes vs. a crisis where "the needs of many outweigh the needs of one." "I'm glad I don't have to be an ethicist because it's really hard to make these decisions and there isn't a black and white answer. And that answer changes depending on where you are in the world and what your country values," he said.

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