Why the Next AI Wave Is About Process, Not Models, Part 1

Published February 02, 2026
Michael Ni
Vice President and Principal Analyst

Executive Summary

Executive Summary: The Productivity Trap

Enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) adoption has reached an inflection point. Building on years of data modernization investments, most organizations can now deploy models, copilots, and analytics at speed. Yet enterprise-level impact remains uneven, fragile, and difficult to scale.

The issue is not model capability. It is execution.

Copilots improve individual productivity. They help analysts analyze faster, marketers write more quickly, and managers summarize more efficiently. But they do not change how work actually flows through the organization. They do not remove approvals, collapse handoffs, resolve exceptions, or eliminate cross-system coordination.

This is the productivity trap. Enterprises mistake individual productivity for operational transformation.

The next wave of AI value will come from execution-driven AI: AI embedded directly into operational processes, where decisions are made, exceptions occur, and outcomes are determined. This expands process automation to areas that traditionally required human judgment. To operate safely at this layer, AI requires decision context, which is the fusion of real-time process data/mining with operational context, constraints, and business intent.

Constellation Research refers to the result as decision velocity, the speed at which an organization can sense, decide, and act with trust. Decision velocity, not model performance, is emerging as the economic yardstick for enterprise AI success. Organizations that fail to climb this learning curve to automate decisions risk falling irreversibly behind within five to seven years.

This report explains why process has become the new AI battleground, how system-bound automation constrained the first wave of AI, and why decision context is now the missing layer between copilots and scalable automation. Part 2, the associated upcoming report, moves from theory to architecture and operating models.

Membership required to view

Already a member?
--- OR ---
Purchase this single report
$2,350.00